Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 6/11/24

St. Louis Cardinals (31-33) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (31-34)

June 11, 2024 at 07:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals +106 / Pittsburgh Pirates -116 — Over/Under: 7.5

The Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals meet Tuesday in MLB game 1 action at Busch Stadium. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-34 on the season after wins over the Dodgers and Twins. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 69 hits and 35 RBI while Oneil Cruz and Connor Joe have combined for 110 hits and 52 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-33 on the year after wins over the Astros and Rockies. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 18 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won 10 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 60 hits and 30 RBI, while Masyn Winn and Brendan Donovan have combined for 115 hits and 50 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Paul Skenes gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Skenes has allowed 9 hits and 5 runs in his last 11 innings. Skenes has a 1.50 ERA and .079 allowed batting average in 12 road innings. This will be Skenes’ first career game against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 4-6 with a 5.32 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Mikolas has allowed 10 hits and 5 runs in his last 12 innings. Mikolas has a 5.81 ERA and .280 allowed batting average in 26.1 home innings. Mikolas is 5-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Cardinals have lost each of their last five games against the Pirates following a home win.
The Pirates have won each of their last five games against the Cardinals following a loss.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Pirates following a win.
The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a loss.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

Matt Carpenter has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against the Pirates.
Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against the Pirates after not playing the previous day.
Miles Mikolas has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last six games.
Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances against the Pirates at Busch Stadium.
Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous appearances against the Pirates at Busch Stadium.
Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances at Busch Stadium.
Willson Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Cardinals after not playing the previous day.
Connor Joe has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Oneil Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Andrew McCutchen has scored at least one run in nine of the Pirates’ last 10 games as favorites.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Single in each of the Pirates’ last six games at Busch Stadium against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

The St. Louis Cardinals rank 26th in the league for steals this season (31).
The St. Louis Cardinals rank T25th in the league for triples this season (6).
The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (625).
The Pittsburgh Pirates rank T25th in the league for triples this season (6).