Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 6/11/24

In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 11th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
• The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
• Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and Baltimore
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and Baltimore

Braves Try to Get Back on Track 

The Atlanta Braves are 35-28 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against Washington, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Braves split two games with the Red Sox, won two out of three against the Athletics, and lost three out of four against the Nationals. Atlanta is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL East, but they are nine games behind Philadelphia. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 279 runs with a .244 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .312 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last five games. 

Orioles Trying for Six Straight 

The Baltimore Orioles are 43-22 this season and they have won four games in a row. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won all four games by scores of 6-3, 5-0, 9-2, and 5-2. Prior to that series, the Orioles split four games with the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Rays, and won two out of three against the Red Sox. Baltimore is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are second in the AL East behind New York. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 336 runs with a .250 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .274 with 21 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has scored at least five runs in seven of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this year. Fried has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts and has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Albert Suarez, who is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this season. Suarez has allowed three earned runs in his last three starts (14.0 IP). 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a win.The Braves have lost five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games.The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the last seven games between the Braves and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.Ten of the Braves’ last 12 night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight night games against National League opponents.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three night games.

Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this game trailing the Phillies in the NL East by a pretty big margin and they haven’t been great recently. The Braves are just 16-16 on the road, but they will have Max Fried on the mound, who has been fantastic this season. Baltimore is 21-12 at home and they have been one of the hotter teams in baseball over the last month. The Orioles are going with Albert Suarez, who has done a good job in limited action as a starter. Fried is the better starting pitcher here, but this Orioles team plays very well at home and they are great offensively. My Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to get the win.