Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres - 9/28/22 MLB Picks and Prediction

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Dodgers have won 11 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Freddie Freeman leads the Dodgers with 191 hits and 95 RBI, while Trea Turner and Mookie Betts have combined for 333 hits and 178 RBI. Julio Urias gets the ball, and he is 17-7 with a 2.25 ERA and 157 strikeouts this season. Urias is 6-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 54 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.

The San Diego Padres have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Padres have won 9 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the Padres with 163 hits and 100 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar have combined for 267 hits and 141 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he is 10-7 with a 3.12 ERA and 169 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 0-6 with a 4.50 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 57-16 in their last 73 during game 2 of a series and 61-19 in their last 80 overall. The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 Wednesday games and 7-2 in their last 9 overall. The under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games. The over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 home games. The Dodgers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego and 38-15 in the last 53 meetings.

As usual, the Los Angeles Dodgers are going to be favored more times than not, and it doesn't hurt to have Julio Urias on the mound. However, the San Diego Padres are playing some of their best ball of the season right now, and Joe Musgrove in the underdog role is hard to pass up. Musgrove hasn't had success against the Dodgers, but he's been great this year overall. I'll take a shot with the plus money.