Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 12 matchup on Saturday, November 22nd, at the St. James’ Park Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle United has 12 points this season, with a 3-5-3 record, and are sitting on the 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-2-0 home record and a 0-3-3 away record. Newcastle is coming off a 3-1 road defeat to Brentford, where they had 51% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.44 compared to Brentford’s 2.35.

Newcastle is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.27 goals per game, which is 9th. Nick Woltemade is Newcastle’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Bruno Guimarães with three goals and Jacob Murphy with two goals. Bruno Guimarães, Jacob Murphy, Sandro Tonali, Valentino Livramento, Dan Burn and Lewis Miley are Newcastle’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 22 points this season, with a 7-3-1 record, and are sitting on the 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-1-0 home record and a 2-2-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 3-0 win against Liverpool at home, where they had 49% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.51 compared to Liverpool’s 0.61.

Manchester City is scoring 2.09 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 0.73 goals per game, which is 1st. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 14 goals, followed by Tijani Reijnders, Jeremy Doku, Nico González, Ryan Cherki, Matheus Nunes, Nico O’Reilly and Phil Foden with one goal apiece. Jeremy Doku is Manchester City’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Why Newcastle United will win

·        The home team has won each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches.

·        Newcastle United has won four of its last six EPL Saturday matches as a home underdog.

·        Newcastle United has won six of its last seven EPL home matches following a league loss.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won each of its last seven EPL night matches.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last six EPL Saturday night matches against Newcastle United.

·        Manchester City has won eight of its last nine EPL night matches.

·        Manchester City has won eight of its last nine EPL night matches against Newcastle United.

·        Manchester City has won 23 of its last 28 EPL matches against Newcastle United.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Newcastle United’s last six EPL matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Manchester City’s last 11 EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Manchester City’s last three EPL away matches.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction

Manchester City is 5-1-1 in its last 7 meetings against Newcastle and under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Manchester City vs Newcastle United Prediction, Manchester City is coming as road favorites. City has been the far better team this season, as they have 10 more points than Newcastle so far and have been in excellent form, with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games across all competitions. They have the second-best offense and the best defense in the Premier League, while Newcastle has been struggling mightily on the offensive end, scoring just one goal per game. Take Manchester City to win this one on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Manchester City ML