Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction 10/26/2025 Today’s EPL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction for this English Premier League Week 9 matchup on Sunday, October 26th, at the Villa Park. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 12 points this season, with a 3-2-3 record, and is sitting on the 11th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-1-1 home record and a 1-1-2 away record. Aston Villa is coming off a 2-1 win against Tottenham on the road, where they had 47% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.32 compared to Tottenham’s 0.75.

Aston Villa is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 15th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 4th. Emi Buendía and Donyell Malen are Aston Villa’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Morgan Rogers, Matty Cash, John McGinn and Ollie Watkins with one goal apiece. Morgan Rogers and Lucas Digne are Aston Villa’s top passers, with 2 assists each.

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 16 points this season, with a 5-2-1 record, and is sitting on the 2nd place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-1-0 home record and a 2-1-1 away record. Manchester City is coming off a 2-0 win against Everton at home, where they had 71% possession of the ball and 19 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 91% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.39 compared to Everton’s 0.81.

Manchester City is scoring 2.13 goals per game, which ranks 1st in the Premier League, while allowing 0.75 goals per game, which is 2nd. Erling Haaland is Manchester City’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Matheus Nunes and Rayan Cherki with one goal apiece. Jeremy Doku is Manchester City’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Why Aston Villa will win

·        The home team has won each of the last five EPL matches between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

·        The home team has won six of the last seven EPL matches between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last three EPL matches.

·        Aston Villa has won three of its last four EPL day matches as a home underdog.

·        Aston Villa has won seven of its last eight EPL home matches following a league win.

·        Aston Villa has won four of its last six EPL matches as an underdog.

·        Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL matches at Villa Park following a league win.

Why Manchester City will win

·        Manchester City has won four of its last five EPL Sunday matches against Aston Villa.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last three EPL matches.

·        Manchester City has won each of its last three EPL Sunday matches against Aston Villa.

·        Manchester City has won five of its last six EPL matches against Aston Villa following a league win.

·        Manchester City has won 17 of its last 22 EPL matches against Aston Villa.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Manchester City’s last 10 EPL away matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of the last five EPL matches between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last three EPL matches between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last three EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Aston Villa’s last 13 EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Manchester City’s last four EPL matches.

Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1 last season, with each one winning at home. Villa won by 2-1 and City won 2-1 as well. Manchester City is a dominating 12-2-1 in its last 15 meetings against Aston Villa and the over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -120 road favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form and both had to play an extra mid-week game for the European Championships. City has won 7 of its last 9 games across all competitions, while Villa has been undefeated in 6 of its last 7. Villa is 4-1 in its last 5 games, while City has scored at least 2 goals in five of its last six games. Both of their meetings last season had 3 total goals, so I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 2.5 goals.