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Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Bournemouth Bournemouth | Sunderland Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-4-3 | 5-4-3 |
| Where | Stadium of Light, Sunderland | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Sunderland Preview
Sunderland has 19 points this season, with a 5-4-3 record, and are sitting on the 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 3-0-2 home record and a 2-4-1 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 1-0 road defeat to Fulham, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 4 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.17 compared to Fulham’s 2.16.
Sunderland is scoring 1.17 goals per game, which ranks 7th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.92 goals per game, which is 4th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 4 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard with two goals and Chemsdine Talbi, Eliezer Mayenda Dossou, Granit Xhaka, Omar Alderete, Enzo Le Fée and Nordi Mukiele with one goal apiece. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Bournemouth Preview
Bournemouth has 19 points this season, with a 5-3-4 record, and are sitting on the 8th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-0-2 home record and a 1-3-2 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 2-2 draw against West Ham at home, where they had 76% possession of the ball and 28 total shots, 10 of them on target. They had 86% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 4.05 compared to West Ham’s 0.65.
Bournemouth is scoring 1.58 goals per game, which ranks 8th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.67 goals per game, which is 15th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 6 goals, followed by Eli Junior Kroupi with four goals and Marcus Tavernier with three goals. Antoine Semenyo and Marcos Senesi are Bournemouth’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Why Sunderland will win
· Sunderland has won each of its last four league matches as an underdog following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won six of its last seven league matches as an underdog following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won four of its last five league Saturday day matches as a home underdog.
· Sunderland has won each of its last three league Saturday day matches as a home underdog.
· Sunderland has won each of its last five league matches following a league loss.
· Sunderland has won each of its last three EPL matches following a league loss.
· The home team has won three of Bournemouth’s last four EPL matches.
Why Bournemouth will win
· Bournemouth has won three of its last four EPL day matches against promoted teams.
· Bournemouth has won three of its last four EPL matches following a league draw.
· Bournemouth has won four of its last six EPL away matches following a league draw.
· Bournemouth has won 10 of its last 15 EPL matches as a favorite against promoted teams.
· The favorite has won three of Bournemouth’s last four EPL matches.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 18 of Bournemouth’s last 20 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Bournemouth’s last four EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Bournemouth’s last four EPL matches as an away favorite.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL away matches.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction
Both teams are tied 2-2-1 in their last 5 meetings and under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction, Bournemouth is coming as +135 road favorites. Both teams have exactly 19 points this season but Bournemouth has been terrible on the road, with just one win in 6 road games. Sunderland has lost only once in its last 5 games and on the other hand, Bournemouth has won only twice in its last 8 games. Bournemouth is better offensively while Sunderland is better defensively, so this matchup is far more balanced than the line indicates, which gives value to the home dog. Take Sunderland by +0.5 goals in this one.
