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Bournemouth vs Brentford FC Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s EPL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Bournemouth Bournemouth | Brentford FC Brentford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-7-5 | 7-2-8 |
| Where | Gtech Community Stadium, London | |
| When | Saturday, December 27, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 AM EST | |
| TV | Peacock | |
Brentford Preview
Brentford has 23 points this season, with a 7-8-2 record, and are sitting in 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 5-1-2 home record and a 2-7-0 away record. Brentford is coming off a 2-0 win against Wolves on the road, where they had 57% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 6 of them on target. They had 83% completed passes, and similar expected goals, with 1.28 compared to Wolves’s 1.27.
Brentford is scoring 1.41 goals per game, which ranks 13th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.47 goals per game, which is 15th. Igor Thiago is Brentford’s top scorer with 11 goals, followed by Kevin Schade and Dango Aboubacar Faissal Ouattara with 3 goals each, Mathias Jensen and Keane Lewis-Potter with 2 goals each and Fabio Carvalho, Nathan Collins and Jordan Henderson with 1 goal each. Jordan Henderson is Brentford’s top passer, with 3 assists.
Bournemouth Preview
Bournemouth has 22 points this season, with a 5-5-7 record, and are sitting in 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 4-1-4 home record and a 1-4-3 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 1-1 draw against Burnley at home, where they had 66% possession of the ball and 16 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 80% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.41 compared to Burnley’s 0.38.
Bournemouth is scoring 1.53 goals per game, which ranks 10th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.71 goals per game, which is 16th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 8 goals, followed by Eli Junior Kroupi with 5 goals, Marcus Tavernier with 4 goals, Evanilson and Tyler Adams with 2 goals each and Alex Scott, Ryan Christie and Amine Adli with 1 goal each. Antoine Semenyo and Marcos Senesi are Bournemouth’s top passers, with 3 assists each.
Why Brentford will win
· Brentford has won each of its last four EPL Saturday day home matches.
· Brentford has won five of its last six EPL Saturday home matches.
· Brentford has won five of its last six league home matches against Bournemouth.
· Brentford has won nine of its last 11 EPL Saturday day home matches.
· Bournemouth has lost three of its last four EPL away matches.
· The favorite has won four of Bournemouth’s last five league matches at Gtech Community Stadium.
Why Bournemouth will win
· Brentford has lost each of its last five EPL day matches following a league win.
· Brentford has lost six of its last seven EPL matches following a league win.
· Bournemouth has won four of its last six EPL matches as an underdog following a league draw.
Total Points Facts
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Bournemouth’s last six EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Bournemouth’s last nine EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 20 of Bournemouth’s last 22 EPL away matches.
· The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Bournemouth’s last five EPL matches as an underdog.
· The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brentford’s last four EPL matches.
Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction
Brentford has six wins and two draws in its last six meetings against Bournemouth and the over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction, Brentford is coming as +125 home favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points this season but Brentford has been very good at home with five wins in eight home games, while on the other hand, Bournemouth has been terrible on the road, with just one win in eight road games. Neither team is coming into this matchup in good form, as they are 1-3-1 and 0-4-4 in their last 5 and 8 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing high-scoring games this season, as they average 2.94 goals per game combined, while allowing 3.18 goals per game combined defensively. Take the over 2.5 in this one.
