Texas vs Missouri Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Texas Longhorns and the Missouri Tigers meet in week 10 college football action from Faurot Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. 

Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction

I’m on Missouri in this one. I get the case to be made for Texas as they’ve come back up with back-to-back wins and I think the Tigers could get Texas here. Arch Manning’s had his blips this season and I think Missouri can pull this one out at home. I’ll back Missouri here.

Texas Longhorns Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to build on their 31-3 win over Mississippi State last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Texas will head on the road for a game against LSU. Arch Manning has thrown for 1,727 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions while completing 64.8% of his passes to lead the Texas passing attack, backed by 140 completions on 216 attempts, with KJ Lacey providing supplemental support via 63 passing yards on 8 completions. The Longhorns’ ground game is spearheaded by Raleek Brown, who rushes for 452 yards and 5 touchdowns on 92 carries, followed closely by Hollywood Smothers with 283 yards and 2 scores on 69 carries, Arch Manning adding 120 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 70 attempts, Michael Terry III chipping in 104 yards and 1 score on 22 carries, and Derrek Cooper adding 103 yards and 1 score on 29 rushing attempts. Through the air, Ryan Wingo leads the receiving corps with 470 yards and 4 touchdowns on 36 catches, while Emmett Mosley V adds 419 yards and 1 score on 25 receptions, Cam Coleman logs 409 yards and 7 scores on 23 receptions, Jermaine Bishop Jr. adds 151 yards and 1 score on 16 receptions, and Hollywood Smothers rounds out key targets with 79 yards and 1 score on 10 catches. Defensively, Jelani McDonald anchors the Texas squad by logging a team-high 63 total tackles. Altogether, the Longhorns’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 24 sacks, 159 yards lost, and no pass deflections while also coming away with 7 total interceptions.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won each of its last 12 November games as a favorite.
• Missouri has lost 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Missouri has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
• The team ranked 10th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games.
• Texas has won the first half in each of its last 10 November games as a favorite.
• Texas has won the first quarter in each of its last six games.

Missouri Tigers Recap

The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 34-10 win over Arkansas last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Missouri will head on the road for a game against Georgia. Austin Simmons has thrown for 1,952 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions while completing 63.3% of his passes to lead the Missouri passing attack, backed by 152 completions on 240 attempts, with Matt Zollers providing supplemental support via 87 passing yards on 8 completions, and Nick Evers adding 18 passing yards on 1 completion. The Tigers’ ground game is spearheaded by Jamal Roberts, who rushes for 1,005 yards and 9 touchdowns on 190 carries, followed closely by Xai’Shaun Edwards with 132 yards and 1 score on 39 carries, Preston Hatfield adding 83 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 7 attempts, Anthony Favrow chipping in 30 yards on 8 carries, and Matt Zollers adding 26 yards and 1 score on 6 rushing attempts. Through the air, Cayden Lee leads the receiving corps with 756 yards and 5 touchdowns on 53 catches, while Donovan Olugbode adds 584 yards and 7 scores on 40 receptions, Naeshaun Montgomery logs 155 yards on 13 receptions, Jamal Roberts adds 125 yards and 1 score on 16 receptions, and Shaun Terry II rounds out key targets with 96 yards and 1 score on 9 catches. Defensively, Nicholas Rodriguez anchors the Missouri squad by logging a team-high 86 total tackles. Altogether, the Tigers’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 19 sacks, 140 yards lost, and 39 pass deflections while also coming away with 7 total interceptions.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Missouri has won five of its last six November games as a home underdog.
• Texas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Missouri has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as a home underdog.
• Missouri has won the first half in each of its last five games at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of Texas’ last three games.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Missouri +2.5