Oklahoma vs Mississippi State Prediction 10/24/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Oklahoma Sooners and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s an Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State Pick.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners lost to Kentucky, beat Texas, and play South Carolina next. Oklahoma has won 7 of its last 11 games. John Mateer is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,308 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Isaiah Sategna III and Rocky Beers have combined for 743 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Manny Choice has 8 receptions.

The Oklahoma Sooners’ ground game is averaging 92.5 yards per contest, and Lloyd Avant leads the way with 267 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing 18.2 points and 260.7 yards per game. Owen Heinecke leads the Oklahoma Sooners with 44 tackles, Jake Kreul has 3 sacks, and Omarion Robinson has 1 interception.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Alabama and LSU, and they play Texas next. Mississippi State has lost back-to-back games. Kamario Taylor is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,450 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Anthony Evans III and Sanfrisco Magee have combined for 909 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Marquis Johnson has 16 receptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs’ ground game is averaging 176.5 yards per contest, and Fluff Bothwell leads the way with 403 yards and 3 touchdowns. On defense, Mississippi State allows 28.5 points and 379.5 yards per game. Tyler Lockhart leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 38 tackles, Will Whitson has 2 sacks, and Jalen Smith has 1 interception.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium.
• Oklahoma has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six October games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Oklahoma’s last five games.

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

• Mississippi State has lost 14 of its last 15 home games against conference opponents.
• The favorite has won 30 of Mississippi State’s last 32 games at Davis Wade Stadium.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Mississippi State’s last three games.
• Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 17 games as a home underdog.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of Oklahoma’s last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last eight October games at Davis Wade Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of Oklahoma’s last eight games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Anthony Evans III/Cayden Lee lead the Southeastern Conference for receptions (47) this season.

Oklahoma Sooners Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 8, Isaiah Sategna leads Oklahoma for receptions (33) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks 123rd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.2).
• Mississippi State ranks T20th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.3).
• Oklahoma ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (92.5).
• Oklahoma ranks 135th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (99).

Oklahoma vs Mississippi State Prediction

I’m obviously only interested in Mississippi State if Kamario Taylor returns at quarterback. The Bulldogs are live if their star QB is under center. Oklahoma followed up its big win over Texas with an outright loss to Kentucky and is back to the struggling offense it’s been all season. The offensive line injuries don’t help either. Mississippi State is good at stopping the run, which will put pressure on Mateer to make plays. It’s not a guarantee he does. I’ll grab the points with Mississippi State, but make sure Taylor is suiting up before clicking the button.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Mississippi State +5.5