Pick details
| MATCHUP | Florida Gators | Georgia Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-2 | 6-1 |
| Spread | +12.5 -112 | -12.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +360 | -470 |
| Total | Over 56.5 (-112) | Under 56.5 (-108) |
| Where | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | |
| When | Saturday, October 31, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ABC | |
Florida vs Georgia Prediction
In this Florida vs Georgia prediction, Georgia is coming as -11.5 favorites. This is a high-caliber battle between the #3 and #17 ranked teams currently in the nation. Georgia has lost only once this season and is 5-2 against the spread, while having the third-best offense and the 16th-best defense in the entire country. They will be facing a Florida squad that while has been elite offensively, has been scoring 27, 19 and 17 points in its last three games and has been struggling on the defensive end, allowing 38+ points in three of its last five. Take the better and more stable team to win this one comfortably, so take Georgia and lay the points.
Georgia Bulldogs Preview
Georgia has a 6-1 record and a 4-1 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 24-27 home loss against Auburn and will face Ole Miss and Missouri next.
Offensively, Georgia averages 43 points per game, ranking 3rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 15.9 points per game, which is 16th. Georgia averages 469.9 total yards per game (272.1 passing and 197.7 rushing), while allowing 276.4 total yards per game (91.4 rushing and 185 passing).
Gunner Stockton leads Georgia with 1,570 passing yards with 74.1% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Dwight Phillips Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 348, while Craig Dandridge Jr. has a team-high 310 receiving yards and 17 receptions. Defensively, Raylen Wilson has a team-high 43 total tackles (27 of them solo) and leads the team with 4 sacks.
Florida Gators Preview
Florida has a 5-2 record and a 3-2 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 27-24 road win against Texas and will face Oklahoma and Kentucky next.
Offensively, Florida averages 39.6 points per game, ranking 9th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 28.3 points per game, which is 106th. Florida averages 450.9 total yards per game (256.6 passing and 194.3 rushing), while allowing 376.6 total yards per game (121.6 rushing and 255 passing).
Aaron Philo leads Florida with 1,341 passing yards with 70.5% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Jadan Baugh leads the team in rushing yards with 763, while Dallas Wilson has a team-high 403 receiving yards and 29 receptions. Defensively, Myles Graham has a team-high 48 total tackles (23 of them solo), while Jayden Woods leads the team with 4.5 sacks.
Florida Gators @ Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win
- Georgia has won 20 of its last 21 games in October.
- Florida has lost each of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams at neutral venues.
- Georgia has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won the first half in 12 of Georgia’s last 13 games.
- The team ranked 3rd in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- The underdog has won each of Florida’s last three games.
- The team ranked 17th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games at neutral venues.
- Georgia has lost the first half in four of its last five games in October.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Georgia’s last seven games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Florida’s last seven October games against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Georgia Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Gunner Stockton ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for passer rating (185.9) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Jadan Baugh ranks 3rd amongst FBS players for rushing touchdowns (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Georgia ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.4).
- Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Florida ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.7).
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Georgia -11.5
