Pick details
| MATCHUP | Buffalo Bulls | Miami (OH) Redhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Spread | +6 -105 | -6 -115 |
| Moneyline | +195 | -238 |
| Total | Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110) |
| Where | Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH | |
| When | Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have won four of their last five games. The RedHawks haven’t played great this year, but they keep finding ways to win close games. Buffalo has also won three in a row and four of their last five, and their defense has been very strong during that span. The Bulls picked up a road win against Toledo a few weeks ago and I think they can keep this one close, so give me Buffalo and the points here.
Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bulls are 5-3 (3-1) this season after they defeated Bowling Green by a score of 31-24 in their last game. Buffalo was tied 14-14 at halftime and they trailed 21-14 early in the third quarter, but they scored the next 17 points to get the win. The Bulls out gained Bowling Green by a score of 378-341, went 8-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Jason Wright threw for 127 yards and one touchdown, while Clint Walker caught two passes for 40 yards and one score. Messiah Burch rushed 33 times for 184 yards and three touchdowns in the win.
Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated UMass by a score of 25-18 and Toledo by a score of 23-8. The Bulls have scored 22.6 points per game with 154.6 passing yards and 175.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.4 points against per game this season. Jason Wright has thrown for 987 yards with seven touchdowns and four interceptions, while Chance Morrow has 41 receptions for 480 yards and six scores. Messiah Burch has rushed 151 times for 845 yards and five touchdowns this season.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview
The Miami (OH) RedHawks are 5-3 (3-1) this year after they defeated Central Michigan by a score of 28-27 in their last game. Miami (OH) led 14-10 at halftime and 21-17 in the third quarter, but they needed a touchdown with 1:41 left for the win. The RedHawks out gained Central Michigan by a total of 360-285, went 6-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Caleb Heavner threw for 221 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also rushing 15 times for 58 yards and one score. Maleek Huggins caught seven passes for 122 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Miami (OH) defeated Akron by a score of 34-14 and UMass by a score of 20-19. The RedHawks have scored 27.0 points per game with 217.0 passing yards and 141.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.8 points against per game this season. Caleb Heavner has thrown for 615 yards with three touchdowns and four interceptions, while Maleek Huggins has 24 receptions for 431 yards and one score. Rodney Nelson has rushed 78 times for 391 yards and three touchdowns this year.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Buffalo has won three of its last four November games as a road underdog.
- Buffalo has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Miami (OH)’s last seven November games at Fred C. Yager Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Buffalo’s last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Damarion Witten leads Miami (OH) for touchdowns (4) this season.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Chance Morrow leads the Mid-American Conference for targets (83) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.8).
- Miami (OH) ranks 132nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (269.9).
- Buffalo ranks 130th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (154.6).
- Buffalo ranks 130th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.6).
Positive Trends
As you can see from the trends above, we don’t have a ton of angles pointing towards Buffalo, but I still like them here. Buffalo has played well in November as a road underdog and they have also been very good against the spread over the last four weeks. The RedHawks are normally a very strong team, but I think they have taken a step back this year, which opens the door for Buffalo here. Take the Bulls to cover.
David Racey's Pick: Buffalo +6
