Alabama vs LSU Prediction 11/7/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers meet in week 10 college football action from Tiger Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. 

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Prediction

I’m on Alabama and the points in this one. I know LSU and Lane Kiffin would love to pick up a signature win here agianst an Alabama team that I think some people feel is higher ranked than they probably should be. That being said, Alabama is still a top team that you rarely get as an underdog, and I think that the Tide could use this win just as much as LSU to silence the critics. Give me Alabama and the points in a competitive matchup.

Alabama Crimson Tide Recap

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game looking to add on to their 31-20 win over Texas A&M last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Alabama will head on the road for a game against Vanderbilt. Keelon Russell has thrown for 2,057 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions while completing 67.0% of his passes to lead the Alabama passing attack, backed by 148 completions on 221 attempts, with Austin Mack providing supplemental support via 23 passing yards on 3 completions. The Crimson Tide’s ground game is spearheaded by Daniel Hill, who rushes for 332 yards and 4 touchdowns on 71 carries, followed closely by Trae’shawn Brown with 324 yards and 5 scores on 64 carries, Keelon Russell adding 251 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns on 66 attempts, EJ Crowell chipping in 216 yards and 4 scores on 32 carries, and Kevin Riley adding 55 yards on 15 rushing attempts. Through the air, Lotzeir Brooks leads the receiving corps with 488 yards and 1 touchdown on 29 catches, while Rico Scott adds 434 yards and 3 scores on 28 receptions, Ryan Coleman-Williams logs 415 yards and 4 scores on 23 receptions, Marshall Pritchett adds 237 yards and 2 scores on 18 receptions, and Kaleb Edwards rounds out key targets with 172 yards and 2 scores on 14 catches. Defensively, Caleb Woodson anchors the Alabama squad by logging a team-high 63 total tackles. Altogether, the Crimson Tide’s defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 20 sacks, 114 yards lost, and 26 pass deflections while also coming away with 12 total interceptions.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Alabama has won 17 of its last 19 games against teams from Louisiana.
• LSU has lost each of its last four November games against AP-ranked teams.
• Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Louisiana.
• LSU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November home games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Alabama has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against teams from Louisiana.
• The team ranked 9th in the AP Poll has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games.

LSU Tigers Recap

The LSU Tigers come into this game looking to add on to their 38-17 win over Auburn last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, LSU will take on Texas at home. Sam Leavitt has thrown for 2,173 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions while completing 70.3% of his passes to lead the LSU passing attack, backed by 180 completions on 256 attempts, with Landen Clark providing supplemental support via 235 passing yards and 1 score on 14 completions, and Husan Longstreet adding 95 passing yards on 7 completions. The Tigers’ ground game is spearheaded by Dilin Jones, who rushes for 657 yards and 6 touchdowns on 149 carries, followed closely by Sam Leavitt with 324 yards and 8 scores on 72 carries, Harlem Berry adding 202 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 32 attempts, Stacy Gage chipping in 166 yards and 2 scores on 21 carries, and Landen Clark adding 87 yards and 4 scores on 24 rushing attempts. Through the air, Jackson Harris leads the receiving corps with 634 yards and 7 touchdowns on 36 catches, while Winston Watkins Jr. adds 487 yards and 2 scores on 37 receptions, Eugene Wilson III logs 284 yards and 1 score on 27 catches, Trey’Dez Green adds 272 yards and 2 scores on 19 receptions, and Dilin Jones rounds out key targets with 217 yards on 30 catches. Defensively, TJ Dottery anchors the LSU squad by logging a team-high 58 total tackles. Altogether, the Tigers’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 34 sacks, 209 yards lost, and 33 pass deflections while also coming away with 7 total interceptions.

Why the LSU Tigers will win

• LSU has won each of its last eight home games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
• Alabama has lost four of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Alabama has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
• LSU has covered the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite against teams from Alabama.
• LSU has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine games.
• LSU has won the first half in each of its last 14 games at Tiger Stadium.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Alabama +6