Feb 7, 2026; East Lansing, Michigan, USA;  Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) draws a foul from Michigan State Spartans forward Jordan Scott (6) during the first half at Jack Breslin Student Events Center. Mandatory Credit: Dale Young-Imagn Images
Dale Young-Imagn Images

Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction 2/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Records 16-7 20-4
Spread +10.5 -105 -10.5 -115
Moneyline +490 -675
Total Over 154.5 (-105) Under 154.5 (-115)
Where State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
When Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV Peacock

The Wisconsin Badgers and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the State Farm Center. Here’s a Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction. This article will include a Wisconsin vs Illinois Pick.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers beat Ohio State, lost to Indiana, and they play Michigan State next. Wisconsin has won 9 of its last 12 games.

The Wisconsin Badgers are averaging 83 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 75.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Nick Boyd is averaging 20 points and 3.5 rebounds, while John Blackwell is averaging 18.5 points and 5.1 rebounds. Nolan Winter is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Rapp is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Wisconsin Badgers are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free throw line. The Wisconsin Badgers are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini beat Northwestern, lost to Michigan State, and they play Indiana next. Illinois has won 12 of its last 13 games.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are averaging 84.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 68 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Keaton Wagler is averaging 17.8 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Kylan Boswell is averaging 14.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Andrej Stojakovic is the third double-digit scorer and David Mirkovic is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

  • Illinois has won each of its last 17 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Wisconsin has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Wisconsin has lost the first half in each of its last four games at State Farm Center.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

  • Wisconsin has won each of its last seven Tuesday night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last four games between Wisconsin and Illinois have produced a total of 166+ points.
  • Thirty-eight of Wisconsin’s last 45 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Illinois ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (8.6).
  • Illinois ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (12.0).
  • Wisconsin ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.1%).
  • Wisconsin ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.8).

Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction

I’ve been pounding the table all season for Illinois, a team I believe can make serious noise next month. Illinois checks plenty of boxes. However, this line is disrespectful toward a Wisconsin team that’s playing good ball. Furthermore, this will be just the fourth time since 2022 that Wisconsin is a double-digit underdog. Since January 2018, Wisconsin is 6-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog, and 3 of those covers were outright wins. Wisconsin doesn’t get blown out often and isn’t getting this many points either. I have to take Wisconsin and the free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Wisconsin +11.5

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