Wagner vs UMBC Prediction 11/16/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Wagner Seahawks and UMBC Retrievers meet Sunday in the college basketball action at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. Here’s a Wagner vs UMBC Prediction. This article will include a Wagner vs UMBC Pick.

Wagner Seahawks Betting Preview

The Wagner Seahawks lost to Seton Hall and Fordham, and they play Georgetown next. Wager has lost 6 straight games.

The Wagner Seahawks are averaging 65.3 points on 40.9 percent shooting and allowing 78 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Eddie Placer is averaging 15.5 points and 3 rebounds, while John Awoke is averaging 12 points and 3 rebounds. Nick Jones is dishing 1.3 assists and Sam Smith is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Wagner Seahawks are shooting 43.7 percent from beyond the arc and 59.5 percent from the free throw line. The Wagner Seahawks are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.7 rebounds per game.

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers lost to Dayton, beat Morgan State, and they play George Washington next. UMBC has lost 6 of its last 9 games.

The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 72.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 65 points on 42.5 percent shooting. DJ Armstrong Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 1 rebound, while Jah’likai King is averaging 13.7 points and 5.7 rebounds. Ace Valentine is the third double-digit scorer and Daylon Dickerson is grabbing 6 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 70.2 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

• Wagner has lost each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• The home team has won each of Wagner’s last four games.

Why the Wagner Seahawks will win

• UMBC has lost six of its last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Wagner has won four of its last five day games.

Total Points Facts

• Nineteen of Wagner’s last 20 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
• Fifteen of UMBC’s last 16 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146+ points.

Wagner vs UMBC Prediction

UMBC is the better team and should be favored, but it’s also a team that’s 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games. Wagner has had a brutal schedule through three games, but it’s shown heart defensively and has covered its last two games. Wagner hung around with Seton Hall and nearly beat Fordham as a double-digit underdog. Early start time as well, which usually leads to sluggish play. Wagner is a feisty group that defends. I’ll grab the points with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Wagner +7.5