Nov 18, 2025; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Dailyn Swain (3) shoots against Rider Broncs forward Shemani Fuller (3) during the first half at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images
Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images

Virginia vs Texas Prediction 12/3/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Virginia Cavaliers Texas Longhorns
Team Records 6-1 6-2
Spread +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110
Moneyline +120 -142
Total Over 150.5 (-115) Under 150.5 (-105)
Where Moody Center, Austin, TX
When Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Time 09:15 PM EST
TV ESPNU

The Virginia Cavaliers and the Texas Longhorns meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Moody Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Virginia Cavaliers vs. Texas Longhorns prediction.

Virginia Cavaliers Recap

The Virginia Cavaliers come into this game looking to add on to their 94-69 win over Queens last time out to sit at 6-1 this season. After this game, Virginia will head home for a game against Dayton.

Cavaliers Looking To Pick Up W In First Road Game

Thijs De Ridder leads the Cavaliers in scoring with 18 PPG along with 5.6 RPG while Malik Thomas has 13.4 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.4 APG. Chance Mallory has 11.3 PPG with 5.4 RPG in addition to 2.9 APG and 2.3 SPG and Sam Lewis has 10.4 PPG with 3.9 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Virginia so far this season. Jacari White has 9 PPG with 2.7 RPG while Johann Grunloh has 8.7 PPG with a team-high 7.7 RPG to lead the Cavaliers in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 87.6 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 36.5% from three and 68.2% from the foul line this season.

Texas Longhorns Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to add on to their 102-97 win over NC State last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, Texas will take on Southern at home.

Longhorns Win Back-To-Back Games

Dailyn Swain leads the Longhorns in scoring with 16.5 PPG along with 6.6 RPG and 3.3 APG while Matas Vokietaitis has 15.5 PPG with 7 RPG. Tramon Mark has 10.5 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.5 APG and Jordan Pope has 12.1 PPG with 2.3 RPG and a team-high 3.6 APG to lead Texas in assists up to this point in the year and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Texas up to this point in the year. Lassina Traore also has a team-high 7.4 RPG to lead the Longhorns in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Texas is averaging 90.9 PPG on 51.1% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three and 69.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Virginia Cavaliers @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: December 3, 2025


Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents at Moody Center.
  • Texas has won the first half in each of its last 14 night games against non-Conference opponents at Moody Center.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

  • Virginia has won eight of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas has lost four of its last five games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Virginia has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Forty-five of Virginia’s last 46 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Each of Texas’ last six night games against non-Conference opponents at Moody Center have produced a total of 151+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.6%).
  • Texas ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.8).
  • Virginia ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (8.0).
  • Virginia ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (44.7).

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction

I’m on the Longhorns in this one. I know Texas is coming back off of their tournament in Maui, but Texas has been better against better competition in this game. The Cavaliers have been a solid team in spots, but the level of competition is a stark difference and I think getting back home helps the Longhorns here. Give me Texas here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Texas -2.5

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