Missouri State Forward Keith Palek III (11) drives to the basket against Delaware Hens guard Justyn Fernandez (4) at The Bob Carpenter Center on Dec. 29, 2025.
Saquan Stimpson/Special to Delaware News Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

UTEP vs Missouri State Prediction 1/2/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP UTEP Miners Missouri State Bears
Team Records 4-8 7-5
Spread +3.5 -118 -3.5 -102
Moneyline +136 -162
Total Over 131.5 (-110) Under 131.5 (-110)
Where Great Southern Bank Arena, Springfield, MO
When Friday, January 2, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The UTEP Miners and Missouri State Bears meet Friday in the college basketball action at the Great Southern Bank Arena. Here’s a UTEP vs Missouri State Prediction. This article will include a UTEP vs Missouri State Pick.

UTEP Miners Betting Preview


The UTEP Miners beat North Dakota State, lost to LA Tech, and they play FIU next. UTEP has lost 6 of its last 7 games.

The UTEP Miners are averaging 71.6 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Elijah Jones is averaging 14.3 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Jamal West Jr. is averaging 12.9 points and 6.6 rebounds. Kaseem Watson is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Blackwell is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The UTEP Miners are shooting 30.8 percent from beyond the arc and 65.6 percent from the free throw line. The UTEP Miners are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview


The Missouri State Bears beat Lindenwood and Delaware, and they play New Mexico State next. Missouri State has won 3 straight games.

The Missouri State Bears are averaging 80 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 76.1 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Keith Palek III is averaging 17.7 points and 7.4 rebounds, while Michael Osei-Bonsu is averaging 13.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. Kobi Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Zaxton King is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Missouri State Bears are shooting 28.4 percent from beyond the arc and 67.6 percent from the free throw line. The Missouri State Bears are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

  • UTEP has lost nine of its last 10 games against the Conference USA.
  • Missouri State has won eight of its last nine games against the Conference USA.
  • Missouri State has won the first half in each of its last four home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UTEP Miners will win

  • UTEP has won each of its last five Friday games.
  • Missouri State has lost 14 of its last 18 night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of UTEP’s last 11 games against the Conference USA have produced a total of 134+ points.
  • Nine of Missouri State’s last 10 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 135+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UTEP ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.9).
  • UTEP ranks 49th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (20.1).

UTEP vs Missouri State Prediction


Missouri State is just 2-7 ATS on the season, so it’s not a team I’m thrilled to lay points with. However, UTEP has serious soaring issues and lost to Norfolk State as a double-digit favorite. It’s not going to be surprising to see UTEP go on the road and lose in ugly fashion. Missouri State has the scoring edge, has won 6 of its last 8 home games, and for the most part wins the games it’s supposed to win. I’ll lay the reasonable number with Missouri State at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Missouri State -3.5

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