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Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Utah State Aggies | New Mexico Lobos |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-3 | 18-4 |
| Spread | +2.5 -115 | -2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -135 |
| Total | Over 157.5 (-105) | Under 157.5 (-115) |
| Where | The Pit, Albuquerque, NM | |
| When | Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
The Utah State Aggies and New Mexico Lobos meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at The Pit. Here’s a Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a Utah State vs New Mexico Pick.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies beat Wyoming and San Diego State, and they play Wyoming next. Utah State has won 11 of its last 13 games.
The Utah State Aggies are averaging 83.7 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 68 points on 41.1 percent shooting. MJ Collins Jr. is averaging 18.6 points and 2.4 rebounds, while Mason Falslev is averaging 15.9 points and 2.8 assists. Karson Templin is dishing 0.9 assists and Garry Clark is grabbing 5.4 rebounds. The Utah State Aggies are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Utah State Aggies are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat UNLV and San José State, and they play Boise State next. New Mexico has won 8 of its last 9 games.
The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 81.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 68.1 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 15.5 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 12.4 points and 10.1 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 29 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last 23 games at The Pit against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Utah State has lost six of its last eight games at The Pit against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Utah State has lost the first half in six of its last eight games at The Pit.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won each of its last four road night games against the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of New Mexico’s last nine night games against the Mountain West Conference at The Pit have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
- Each of Utah State’s last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.82).
- New Mexico ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+13.5).
- Utah State ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.0).
- Utah State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+15.7).
Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction
These are probably the two best teams in the MWC, so you can argue Utah State and the free bucket. Utah State has 5 road wins this season as well. The problem is the line is soft, and New Mexico is undefeated at home through 12 games. The Pit is one of the most underrated home courts in college basketball, and that’s probably the key edge in this spot. Two teams that have the ability to make noise come March, but home court matters in this spot. I’ll lay the bucket with the Lobos.
