Mar 20, 2025; Lexington, KY, USA;  Utah State Aggies guard Mason Falslev (12) shoots the ball during the second half against the UCLA Bruins in the first round of the NCAA Tournament at Rupp Arena. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction 12/30/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Utah State Aggies Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records 10-1 6-6
Spread -13.5 -112 +13.5 -108
Moneyline -1200 +750
Total Over 152.5 (-115) Under 152.5 (-105)
Where Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA
When Tuesday, December 30, 2025
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV MWN

In this article we will formulate a Utah State vs Fresno State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, December 30th at the Save Mart Center in Fresno, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

The Utah State Aggies are 10-1 (1-0) this season after they defeated Colorado State by a score of 100-58 in their last game. Utah State led 45-24 at halftime and scored 55 points in the second half for the blowout victory. The Aggies shot 64% from the field, 57% on three pointers, and 58% on free throws in the game. Mason Falslev led Utah State with 18 points and four rebounds, while Adlan Elamin added 15 points and eight rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Utah State defeated Illinois State by a score of 83-78 and Charlotte by a score of 79-53. The Aggies have scored 85.9 points per game with 36.7 rebounds and 18.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 66.7 points against per game this season. MJ Collins Jr is averaging 20.1 points and 2.3 rebounds per game, while Mason Falslev is averaging 15.5 points and 5.5 rebounds per game for the Aggies. Utah State is shooting 52.1% from the field, 71.0% on free throws, and 38.6% on three pointers this season. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 6-6 (0-1) this year after they lost to UNLV by a score of 84-72 in their last game. Fresno State led 41-39 at halftime, but they were outscored 45-31 in the second half for the double-digit loss. The Bulldogs shot 42% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Wilson Jacques led Fresno State with 18 points and 11 rebounds, while Jake Heidbreder added 17 points and five assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Fresno State lost to CS Northridge by a score of 89-87 and Arkansas by a score of 82-58. The Bulldogs have scored 76.1 points per game with 35.5 rebounds and 14.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.5 points against per game this season. Jake Heidbreder is averaging 18.3 points and 2.9 rebounds per game, while Zaon Collins is averaging 14.8 points and 5.3 assists per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State is shooting 46.3% from the field, 71.5% on free throws, and 31.7% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won four of its last five games at Save Mart Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Fresno State has lost 14 of its last 15 games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • Utah State has won 13 of its last 14 games against Fresno State.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in five of its last six home games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirty of Fresno State’s last 33 home night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
  • Six of Utah State’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Save Mart Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction

Utah State comes into this matchup looking for their fourth win in a row and they dominated Colorado State last time out. The Aggies are shooting 52% from the field and they have scored 79+ in four of their last five. Fresno State has lost four in a row and they have allowed 82+ in each of their last three. The Bulldogs are shooting 46% from the field and their offense has been fine, but the defense has really hurt them. I think Utah State is the much better team and I expect their offense to run away with it. Take the Aggies here.

David Racey's Pick: Utah State -14.5

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