UMBC vs George Mason Prediction 11/2/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

UMBC vs George Mason Prediction

In this UMBC vs George Mason Prediction, George Mason is coming as -17 home favorites. Both teams are coming off excellent season in the A-10 and America East conferences, having almost identical overall records and while George Mason has very strong at home with a 17-3 record, UMBC was also good on the road with a 9-6 record. Both teams were excellent defensively, ranking on the top-40 of the entire country in points allowed, with 131.4 ppg combined and George Mason finished last season 4-1 to the under. Both of their head-to-head meetings were also low-scoring ones with 122 and 137 total points, so take the under 147 points in this one.

George Mason Patriots Preview

The George Mason Patriots finished last season with a 23-10 overall record and an 11-7 record in the A-10. Offensively, they averaged 73.3 points per game, ranking 249th in the nation, while allowing 67.8 points per game defensively, ranking 37th. The Patriots shot with 47.2% from the field and 34% from beyond the arc, while grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game and averaging 12.5 assists per game. They had 3 blocks per game and 5 steals per game defensively.

Kory Mincy led George Mason in scoring, with an average of 14.3 ppg, adding 3.6 rebounds while shooting with 44% from the field and 88.7% from the free throw line. Riley Allenspach followed with 13.6 ppg and 6.1 rebounds per game, while Jahari Long added 12.2 ppg.

UMBC Retrievers Preview

The UMBC Retrievers finished last season with a 24-9 overall record and a 14-2 record in the America East. Offensively, they averaged 76.4 points per game, ranking 159th in the nation, while allowing 67.6 points per game defensively, ranking 33rd. The Retrievers shot with 47.3% from the field and 36.3% from beyond the arc, while grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game and averaging 12.1 assists per game. They had 2.5 blocks per game and 5.1 steals per game defensively.

UMBC Retrievers @ George Mason Patriots Betting Trends: November 2, 2026

Why the George Mason Patriots will win

• George Mason has won each of its last 10 day games at EagleBank Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• UMBC has lost five of its last six games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
• UMBC has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

• UMBC has won each of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• George Mason has lost each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Jah’Likai King led UMBC in scoring, with an average of 14 ppg, adding 3.3 rebounds while shooting with 41.7% from the field and 82.5% from the free throw line. DJ Armstrong followed with 13.3 ppg and 2.9 rebounds per game, while Ace Valentine added 11.9 ppg.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 147