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UCF vs Villanova Prediction 4/5/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Villanova (21-14) vs UCF (19-16)
April 5, 2025 at 04:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Villanova -3.5 — Over/Under:
The UCF Knights and Villanova Wildcats meet Saturday in the college basketball Crown Semifinals at the T-Mobile Arena. Here’s a UCF vs Villanova Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Villanova Pick.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights beat Oregon State and Cincinnati to get to this point. UCF has a chance to win three straight games for the first time since December 14-31.
The UCF Knights are averaging 78.6 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 79.8 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 18.8 points and 2.4 assists, while Darius Johnson is averaging 17.1 points and 3.4 rebounds. Jordan Ivy-Curry is the third double-digit scorer and Moustapha Thiam is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The UCF Knights are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The UCF Knights are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.
Villanova Wildcats Betting Preview
The Villanova Wildcats beat Colorado and USC to get to this point. Villanova has won six of its last eight games.
The Villanova Wildcats are averaging 73.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Eric Dixon is averaging 23.1 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Wooga Poplar is averaging 14.8 points and 6.9 rebounds. Jordan Longino is the third double-digit scorer and Jhamir Brickus is dishing 4.8 assists. The Villanova Wildcats are shooting 39.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Villanova Wildcats are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Villanova Wildcats will win
- Villanova has won seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
- UCF has lost seven of its last eight Saturday games.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- UCF has won each of its last four day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Villanova has lost three of its last four day games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Villanova’s last 14 games have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Five of UCF’s last six games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 159+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Villanova ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (81.1%).
- Villanova ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (63.1).
- UCF ranks T22nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.6).
- UCF ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.9%).
UCF vs Villanova Injury Report
Villanova will be without Nnanna Njoku, while Aleksandar Gavalyugov is questionable with an illness. UCF will be without Jaylin Sellers, Rokas Jocius, and Cameron Simpson. Mikey Williams is questionable with an undisclosed issue.
UCF vs Villanova Prediction
Give UCF credit for getting to this point after pulling off a strong upset over Cincinnati, and the Knights have had a thing for showing up when oddsmakers disrespect them. Let’s not forget that upset over Utah earlier and a win over Texas Tech as a double-digit dog on New Year’s Eve. With that said, this line is soft. Villanova is the more balanced, talented team and would’ve been in the big dance if it took the regular season a bit more seriously. With wins in six of its last eight games, this is the best ball Villanova has played all year. UCF has had issues defensively all year and that’s not ideal when having to find an answer for Eric Dixon. Give me Villanova in a comfortable win.
