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UAB vs Memphis Prediction 3/16/25 College Basketball Picks

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Memphis (28-5) vs UAB (22-11)

March 16, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis -4.5 — Over/Under: 160.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UAB Blazers and Memphis Tigers meet Sunday in the college basketball AAC Final at the Dickies Arena. Here’s a UAB vs Memphis Prediction. This article will include a UAB vs Memphis Pick.

UAB Blazers Betting Preview 

The UAB Blazers recently played Memphis, FAU, Tulane, East Carolina, and North Texas. UAB has won 15 of its last 19 games.

The UAB Blazers are averaging 83 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 78.6 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 17.7 points and 10.8 rebounds, while Alejandro Vasquez is averaging 11.2 points and 2.8 rebounds. Christian Coleman is the third double-digit scorer and Ja’Borri McGhee is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The UAB Blazers are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The UAB Blazers are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview 

The Memphis Tigers recently beat UTSA, USF, Wichita State, and Tulane. Memphis has won sevens straight games and has one loss since January 19. 

The Memphis Tigers are averaging 80 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 73 points on 42.1 percent shooting. PJ Haggerty is averaging 21.9 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Tyrese Hunter is averaging 13.9 points and 3.9 rebounds. Dain Dainja is the third double-digit scorer and Colby Rogers is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Memphis Tigers are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 70.9 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Tigers are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 3.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 15 of its last 16 games against the American Athletic Conference.
  • UAB has lost six of its last seven day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

  • UAB has won each of its last six games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-two of Memphis’ last 23 Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Nine of UAB’s last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Memphis ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.7%).
  • Memphis ranks 43rd among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (80.0).
  • UAB ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.8%).
  • UAB ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.63).

UAB vs Memphis Injury Report

UAB doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Memphis will be without Dante Harris, while Tyrese Hunter is questionable with a foot injury. 

UAB vs Memphis Prediction

UAB just doesn’t have the defense to bother Memphis and that showed in two meetings this season. Memphis won the first game in January by 23 points while scoring 100, and the Tigers won the second game on the road a couple of weeks ago while scoring 88. UAB is a below-average defensive team across the board and it’s just not a great sign when going up this athletic Memphis squad. The favorite has covered eight of the last 10 games between UAB and Memphis. Memphis hasn’t been great ATS this season and has failed to cover three of its last four games, but we’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. I’ll lay the points with Memphis in the AAC Championship. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis -4.5

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