Troy vs Florida State Prediction 11/6/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Troy Trojans and the Florida State Seminoles will meet Friday night in a college basketball matchup at the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida. Let’s take a look at this game from a betting perspective.

Troy Trojans vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction

In my view, this matchup favors the Troy Trojans staying within the number (20.5). Why? While Florida State competed in the ACC last season, the Seminoles were far from dominant, finishing with an 18-15 overall record and a 10-8 mark in conference play. Florida State also allowed 77.9 points per game, indicating the Seminoles had defensive issues throughout much of the season.

Meanwhile, Troy quietly put together an impressive 22-12 campaign, including a 12-6 record in Sun Belt Conference play. The Trojans also averaged 80.4 points per game, which ranked 59th nationally. While Troy allowed 74.5 points per contest, the team’s offensive firepower enabled it to consistently remain competitive against quality opponents.

Florida State certainly owns the advantages of ACC experience and home court, but Troy enters this matchup with the better overall record and one of the more productive offenses in the nation. I believe the Trojans have enough offensive firepower to remain competitive throughout this contest. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Troy Trojans plus the 20.5 points in this game.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans enter Friday night’s matchup after posting a 22-12 overall record (10-3 home record, 9-7 road record and 12-6 Sun Belt Conference record) last season.

The Trojans recorded multiple quality victories throughout Sun Belt play and once again established themselves as one of the better teams in the conference. Troy’s balanced attack and ability to win games away from home were key factors in the team’s success.

The Troy Trojans averaged 80.4 points per game (59th nationally) while allowing 74.5 points per contest last season. What did we learn from the data just presented? Troy possessed one of the better offenses in the Sun Belt conference and consistently found ways to outscore opponents. The Trojans enter the 2026 season looking to build upon last year’s 22-win campaign and position themselves for another run at a Sun Belt conference title.

It is noteworthy that the Trojans lost the team’s first game of the 2026 regular season as the Massachusetts Minuteman defeated the Troy Trojans 71-60 earlier this week.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles enter Friday night’s matchup after posting an 18-15 overall record (11-6 home record, 6-5 road record and 10-8 ACC Conference record) during the 2025 season.

The Seminoles showed flashes throughout the season and remained competitive in ACC play. Florida State recorded several notable conference victories while battling one of the tougher schedules in college basketball.

The Florida State Seminoles allowed 77.9 points per game last season. While Florida State displayed athleticism and offensive upside throughout the year, defensive consistency was an issue at times. Florida State opened the 2026 campaign with a 112-69 victory over Florida A&M Rattlers three days ago.   

Why the Troy Trojans Will Win

• Winning experience. Troy posted a 22-12 overall record last season.

• Road success. The Trojans compiled a solid 9-7 road record in 2025.

• Offensive production. Troy averaged 80.4 points per game, ranking 59th nationally.

• Sun Belt success. The Trojans finished 12-6 in conference play.  

Why the Florida State Seminoles Will Win

• ACC experience. Florida State competed in one of the toughest conferences in college basketball.

• Home-court advantage. The Seminoles posted an 11-6 record at home last season.

• Strong conference play. Florida State finished 10-8 in ACC action.

• Athleticism. The Seminoles possess the size, length and athletic ability that traditionally make them difficult to prepare for early in the season.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Troy Trojans +20.5