Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Toledo vs Western Michigan prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th at University Arena in Kalamazoo, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 12-12 (6-5) this year after they lost to James Madison by a score of 73-71 in their last game. Toledo was tied at 32 at halftime, but they allowed 41 points in the second half for the close loss. The Rockets shot 49% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 67% on free throws in the game. Leroy Blyden Jr led Toledo with 24 points and five assists, while Sonny Wilson added 20 points and four assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Toledo lost to Kent State by a score of 75-72, but did beat Ball State by a score of 73-55 before that. The Rockets have scored 80.9 points per game with 34.0 rebounds and 15.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.5 points against per game this season. Sonny Wilson is averaging 17.2 points and 4.8 assists per game, while Leroy Blyden Jr is averaging 16.2 points and 4.1 assists per game for the Rockets. Toledo is shooting 47.6% from the field, 77.9% on free throws, and 34.8% on three pointers this year. 

Western Michigan Broncos Betting Preview

The Western Michigan Broncos are 8-15 (2-8) this season after they lost to Texas State by a score of 77-61 in their last game. Western Michigan trailed 36-25 at halftime and they allowed 41 points in the second half in the loss. The Broncos shot 40% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Trey Lewis led Western Michigan with 19 points and two rebounds, while Jayden Brewer added 13 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Western Michigan lost to Ohio by a score of 91-71 and NIU by a score of 85-65. The Broncos have scored 74.6 points per game with 36.6 rebounds and 13.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 79.6 points against per game this season. Justice Williams is averaging 15.3 points and 2.7 rebounds per game, while Jalen Griffith is averaging 13.5 points and 3.9 assists per game for the Broncos. Western Michigan is shooting 44.7% from the field, 72.1% on free throws, and 34.3% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win

• Western Michigan has won each of its last nine Wednesday home games against the Mid-American Conference.
• Toledo has lost each of its last four road games.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

• Toledo has won each of its last 10 night games against Western Michigan.
• Western Michigan has lost seven of its last eight night games against the Mid-American Conference.
• Toledo has won the first half in each of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last four games between Toledo and Western Michigan at University Arena have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Each of Toledo’s last six Wednesday road games against the Mid-American Conference have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction 

Western Michigan comes into this contest with a 2-8 record in conference play and they have lost three in a row. The Broncos are shooting 45% from the field and they have allowed 77+ in their last three games. Toledo has dropped three of their last four games, including their last two road games. The Rockets are shooting 48% from the field, but they have scored 73 points or fewer in four of their last five. I don’t love how Toledo has looked, but WMU has lost by 16+ points in four of their last five, so take the Rockets here.

David Racey's Pick: Toledo -6.5