Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction 2/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the South Alabama Jaguars will meet on Thursday night in a Sun Belt Conference matchup at the Mitchell Center in Mobile, Alabama.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats enter Thursday night’s contest with a 17–11 win‑loss record, including a 9–6 mark in conference play and an abysmal 2-8 record on the road. The Bobcats have compiled wins over UTSA, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian, Little Rock and Texas Lutheran, while losing games to Bowling Green, Tulane, Rice and Seattle.

Last month, in the Texas State Bobcats 65–56 victory over the Little Rock Trojans, Texas State forward DJ Hall tallied 12 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists demonstrating his ability to lead the Bobcats frontcourt.

The Texas State Bobcats average 72.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting from the field and 31.6 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Shifting our attention to the defensive side of the basketball, the Bobcats are allowing opponents 72.6 points per game.

Freshman forward DJ Hall leads the Texas State Bobcats averaging 15 points, 7.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Senior guard Mark Drone adds 13.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game, while junior guard Dimp Pernell contributes 8.8 points, 2.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars enter Thursday’s matchup with a 19–8 overall record, including a 9–5 mark in Sun Belt play and an impressive 8–2 record at home this season. The Jaguars have compiled wins over Georgia State, Southern Miss, Arkansas State and ULM, while dropping recent games to James Madison and Troy. In their most recent highlighted performance, the Jaguars continued to show strong home‑court form, a key factor entering this matchup.

The South Alabama Jaguars average 73.1 points on 46.3 percent shooting from the field and 33.9 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. Defensively, the Jaguars are allowing 70.9 points per contest.  

Senior guard Chaze Harris leads the South Alabama Jaguars averaging 18.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, 4.7 assists and 1.5 steals a day. Junior forward Adam Olsen averages 16.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.1 steals per contest. Senior forward Peyton Law provides the Jaguars with further frontcourt stability averaging 12.8 points, 5.9 rebounds, 1 assist and 0.8 blocks per game.

Why the Texas State Bobcats Will Win

• Frontcourt play. Freshman forward DJ Hall leads the Texas State Bobcats averaging 15 points, 7.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.4 steals per game.

• Confidence. The Texas State Bobcats defeated the South Alabama Jaguars 67-65 in December.

• Recent momentum. The Texas State Bobcats enter tomorrow’s contest on the heels of a six‑game winning streak.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars Will Win

 • Home court advantage. The South Alabama Jaguars have compiled an 8–2 record at home in 2025.

• Quality guard play. Senior guard Chaze Harris leads the South Alabama Jaguars backcourt averaging 18.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, 4.7 assists and 1.5 steals a day. Junior

• Defensive edge. The South Alabama Jaguars are allowing opponents just 70.9 points per game. Conversely, the Bobcats are allowing opponents 72.6 points per contest.

Texas State Bobcats vs. South Alabama Jaguars Prediction

This matchup features Texas State’s recent offensive surge and DJ Hall’s elite scoring against a South Alabama team that has been one of the most reliable home performers in the Sun Belt. Texas State’s momentum gives them a path to victory, but the Texas State Bobcats road inconsistency and South Alabama’s defensive stability make this a difficult environment for the Jaguars to succeed down the stretch. With that said, I am backing the South Alabama Jaguars to cover the 3.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: South Alabama -3.5