Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Texas State Bobcats and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in college basketball action from the First National Bank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction.

Texas State Bobcats Recap

The Texas State Bobcats come into this game looking to shake off an 80-70 loss at the hands of Southern Miss last time out to sit at 9-8 this season. After this game, Texas State will head home for a game against Louisiana.

Bobcats Alternate Wins & Losses In 7 Straight

Mark Drone has 13.1 PPG along with 2.5 RPG and 2.4 APG to lead Texas State in scoring while DJ Hall has 12.3 PPG with 7.1 RPG to lead Texas State in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for Texas State so far this season. Kaden Gumbs has 8 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 4 APG and 2 SPG to lead the Bobcats in assists and steals and Dimp Pernell also has 8.8 PPG as well this season. As a team, Texas State is averaging 73.7 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 75% from the foul line this season.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to bounce back from their 86-74 loss at the hands of Troy last time out to sit at 11-5 this season. After this game, Arkansas State will head on the road for a game against South Alabama.

Red Wolves Win 8 Of Last 10

Matt Hayman has 11.6 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG while TJ Caldwell has 10 PPG with 3.1 RPG and Chandler Jackson has 10.9 PPG with 3.2 RPG and a team-high 4.3 APG to lead Arkansas State in assists so far this season. Jaxon Ellingsworth has 10.7 PPG with 5.5 RPG and Christian Harmon has 10 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 2.6 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Arkansas State so far this season. Jalen Hampton has 7.5 PPG with a team-high 7 RPG to lead the Red Wolves in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 83.1 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 31.8% from three and 77.3% from the foul line this season.

Texas State Bobcats @ Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends: January 10, 2026

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won nine of its last 10 day games at First National Bank Arena.
• Texas State has lost each of its last three games after coming off overtime.
• Arkansas State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games.

Why the Texas State Bobcats will win

• Texas State has won six of its last eight day games after coming off overtime.
• The road team has won the first half in four of the last five games between Texas State and Arkansas State.

Total Points Facts

• Forty-two of Texas State’s last 49 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
• Five of Arkansas State’s last six home games against Texas State have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (77.2%).
• Arkansas State ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.7%).
• Texas State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (15.5).
• Texas State ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (5.1).

Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction

I’m on Arkansas State in this one. Texas State just has not been able to cover a number as of late, and I just think that this Arkansas State team is legit and a real team to keep an eye on in Sun Belt play. Until the Bobcats can show me that they’ll cover a point spread, I’ll keep going the other way. Give me Arkansas State.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Arkansas State -11