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St. Louis vs Dayton Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Dayton (20-9) vs St. Louis (17-12)
March 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -6.5 — Over/Under: 144.5
The Saint Louis Billikens and Dayton Flyers meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the UD Arena. Here’s a Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction. This article will include a Saint Louis vs Dayton Pick.
Saint Louis Billikens Betting Preview
The Saint Louis Billikens beat Loyola Chicago and Davidson, and they play Duquesne next. Saint Louis has a chance at three straight wins for the first time since December 28 – January 8.
The Saint Louis Billikens are averaging 74 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 69.3 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Robbie Avila is averaging 17.5 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Gibson Jimerson is averaging 17.5 points and 0.8 assists. Isaiah Swope is the third double-digit scorer and Kalu Anya is grabbing 8.4 rebounds. The Saint Louis Billikens are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Louis Billikens are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game.
Dayton Flyers Betting Preview
The Dayton Flyers beat Rhode Island and Richmond, and they play VCU next. It’s senior night for a Dayton roster that has five seniors.
The Dayton Flyers are averaging 75.3 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 69.9 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Nate Santos is averaging 14.3 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13.3 points and 1.9 assists. Malachi Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Javon Bennett is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won each of its last nine games at University of Dayton Arena after coming off overtime.
- Saint Louis has lost each of its last eight games at University of Dayton Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Saint Louis’ last three games.
Why the Saint Louis Billikens will win
- Saint Louis has won each of its last three games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
- Dayton has lost each of its last three night games following a home win.
- Saint Louis has won the first half in three of its last four games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Saint Louis’ last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
- Each of the last six night games between Saint Louis and Dayton at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dayton ranks 44th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.44).
- Saint Louis ranks T34th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.8).
- Saint Louis ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (9.7).
Saint Louis vs Dayton Injury Report
Saint Louis will be without Larry Hughes Jr., Josiah Dotzler, AJ Casey, and Kellen Thames. Dayton will be without Marvel Allen due to a knee injury.
Saint Louis vs Dayton Prediction
Dayton is showing signs of getting its act together and it’s at home where 15 of its 20 wins have come this season. Dayton beat up on Saint Louis a little over a month ago, winning as a 1.5-point underdog on the road. The right team is favored. However, as I’ve said before, Saint Louis was brought together this season to make a run in the Atlantic 10 and even make the big dance. It hasn’t been a great season, but Saint Louis has won three straight games, which includes a slight upset on the road over Davidson. Saint Louis is making that push and could be a team to watch these next couple of weeks. The underdog has covered six of the last 10 games between Saint Louis and Dayton. I want the Billikens and the points.
