Nov 14, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels center Henri Veesaar (13) lines up for a free throw against the North Carolina Central Eagles in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kinser-Imagn Images
Scott Kinser-Imagn Images

St. Bonaventure vs North Carolina Prediction 11/25/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP St. Bonaventure Bonnies North Carolina Tar Heels
Team Records 5-1 6-0
Where Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers, FL
When Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV FS1

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies and the UNC Tar Heels meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the Suncoast Credit Union Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. UNC Tar Heels prediction.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies Recap

The St. Bonaventure Bonnies come into this game looking to add on to their 75-61 win over Robert Morris last time out to sit at 5-0 this season.

Bonnies Looking For Upset To Stay Unbeaten

Darryl Simmons II leads the Bonnies with 18.6 PPG along with 2.2 RPG and 3 APG while Frank Mitchell has 16 PPG with a team-high 10.6 RPG to lead the Bonnies on the glass by averaging a double-double per game this season. Cayden Charles has 14.4 PPG with 6.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for St. Bonaventure so far this season. Dasonte Bowen has a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Bonnies in assists this season. As a team, St. Bonaventure is averaging 78.4 PPG on 48.5% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.

UNC Tar Heels Recap

The UNC Tar Heels come into this game looking to add on to their 73-61 win over Navy last time out to sit at 5-0 this season. 

Tar Heels Win 5 Straight To Start Year

Caleb Wilson leads the Tar Heels in scoring and rebounding with 20.6 PPG and 10 RPG along with 2.6 APG, averaging a double-double per game while Henri Veesaar has 14.8 PPG with 7.8 RPG. Seth Trimble has 14.5 PPG along with 5 RPG and 3.5 APG while Luka Bogavac has 12.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 3 APG to cap off the Tar Heels’ group of double-digit scorers. Kyan Evans has 8 PPG with 3.6 RPG and 5.2 APG to lead the Tar Heels in assists so far this season. As a team, North Carolina is averaging 88 PPG on 47.6% shooting from the field, 32.6% from three and 71% from the foul line this season. 

St. Bonaventure Bonnies @ North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends: November 25, 2025

Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win

  • North Carolina has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • St. Bonaventure has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the St. Bonaventure Bonnies will win

  • St. Bonaventure has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • North Carolina has lost three of its last four night games played at neutral venues.
  • St. Bonaventure has won the first half in 19 of its last 20 games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of St. Bonaventure’s last 19 night games have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
  • Seven of North Carolina’s last eight games against the Atlantic 10 Conference have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Carolina ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (47.0).
  • North Carolina ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (32.7%).
  • St. Bonaventure ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.6).
  • St. Bonaventure ranks T16th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.8).

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. UNC Tar Heels Prediction

I’m on the Bonnies and the points here. I just think that St. Bonaventure is still a quality mid-major program, and it’s UNC’s first game away from the Dean Dome so far this season. UNC has also been guilty of playing with their food at times and I think the Bonnies can hang around here. Give me St. Bonaventure and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: St. Bonaventure +11.5

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