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Sacramento State vs Pacific Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Sacramento State Hornets | Pacific Boxers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-5 | 6-2 |
| Where | Alex G. Spanos Center, Stockton, CA | |
| When | Saturday, November 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Pacific Tigers Preview
Pacific has a 5-2 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place of the WCC conference. They are 4-2 ATS, 1-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 1-2 away record. Pacific is coming off a 68-53 home win against Jacksonville and will face Air Force, California and Simpson next.
Offensively, Pacific averages 75.3 points per game, which ranks 238th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 66.6 points per game (61st). The Tigers shoot with 48.8% from the field (62nd), and with 33.6% from beyond the arc (184th). They shoot with 75% from the free throw line (80th), and grab 38.4 rebounds per game (138th), while dishing out 12.1 assists per game (295th) and committing 12.7 turnovers per game (194th).
Elias Ralph leads Pacific in scoring, with an average of 15.9 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. TJ Wainwright follows with 12.6 points and 4 rebounds per game, while Jaden Clayton adds 8.3 points and 5.4 assists per game.
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
Sacramento State has a 4-4 record this season and are sitting in the 8th place of the Big Sky conference. They are 2-3 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. Sacramento State is coming off a 94-46 home win against San Francisco State and will face Baylor, California Baptist and Cal State Northridge next.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 77.8 points per game, which ranks 190th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 75.3 points per game (216th). The Hornets shoot with 42.3% from the field (302nd), and with 35.3% from beyond the arc (126th). They shoot with 72.6% from the free throw line (145th), and grab 41.3 rebounds per game (53rd), while dishing out 15.4 assists per game (147th) and committing 13 turnovers per game (219th).
Prophet Johnson leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 16 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. Jeremiah Cherry follows with 15.5 points and 8.2 rebounds per game, while Mikey Williams adds 13.3 points and 5.5 assists per game.
Sacramento State Hornets @ Pacific Tigers Betting Trends: November 29, 2025
Why the Pacific Tigers will win
- Sacramento State has lost each of its last 10 night games against non-Conference opponents.
- The home team has won each of Sacramento State’s last five games.
- Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last seven night games against the West Coast Conference.
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- Pacific has lost each of its last eight games against the Big Sky Conference.
- Pacific has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against the Big Sky Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Pacific’s last six night games at Alex G. Spanos Center have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
- Each of Sacramento State’s last four games against the West Coast Conference Conference have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Pacific ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.6).
- Sacramento State ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.1).
Sacramento State vs Pacific Prediction
In this Sacramento State vs Pacific Prediction, Pacific is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Pacific has been the better team this season, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have been undefeated at home. On the flip side, Sac State is 2-4 in its last 6 games and have been winless on the road. Pacific has the 61st-best defense in the country and I expect them to lock down this game at home and get away with an easy win. Take Pacific and lay the points at home.
