Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Montana State Bobcats Preview

The Montana State Bobcats have a 16-13 overall record and a 10-6 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off an 84-69 home win against Portland State and their previous three games were a 91-76 road loss against Idaho State, an 82-79 road loss against Weber State and an 82-71 road win against Montana.

Offensively, Montana State averages 78 points per game, while allowing 71.8 points per game defensively. The Bobcats shoot with 46% from the field and grab 32.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.5 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

Jed Miller leads Montana State in scoring, with an average of 14.8 points per game, while shooting with 46.1% from the field and 81.3% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.5 rebounds and a team-high 2.8 assists.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 9-19 overall record and a 5-11 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off an 81-73 road loss against Montana and their previous three games were an 86-80 home loss against Idaho, a 102-94 home loss against Eastern Washington and a 79-74 road loss against Northern Arizona.

Offensively, Sacramento State averages 79.3 points per game, while allowing 83.1 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 42% from the field and grab 34.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.1 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.

Prophet Johnson leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 18.6 points per game, while shooting with 47.8% from the field and 73.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.6 rebounds. Mikey Williams leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.

Sacramento State Hornets @ Montana State Bobcats Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

• Sacramento State has lost each of its last eight day games against Conference opponents.
• Montana State has won nine of its last 10 games at Worthington Arena.
• Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last 11 road games.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• Montana State has lost each of its last seven day games following a home win.
• Sacramento State has won four of its last five games against Montana State following a road loss.
• Sacramento State has won the first half in three of its last four day games at Worthington Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Sacramento State’s last eight games at Worthington Arena have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
• Sixteen of the last 17 games between Sacramento State and Montana State have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.

Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction    

In this Sacramento State vs Montana State Prediction, Montana State is coming as -9 home favorites. Montana State has been the better team this season and better against the spread, but are 2-5 in their last 7 games, while Sacramento has five consecutive losses and has won their previous meeting against Montana State this season. I see no value on either side, but both teams are 9-2 to the over in their last 11 games combined and their previous meeting this season was also a high-scoring one, so take the over 157 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 157