Oklahoma vs UConn Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma vs UConn prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 21 at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Florida or Norfolk State in the 2nd Round.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners (20-13, 18-15 ATS) displayed some disappointing performances late in the season as they suffered seven defeats in the final ten games. The Sooners managed to shake the rust off and beat Missouri and Texas right before the SEC tournament, where they entered as the No. 14 seed. Oklahoma beat Georgia in the first round but fell short of Kentucky 85-84 in the second round.

Oklahoma averages 78.8 PPG (62nd) and allows 74.8 PPG (267th). The Sooners are 373rd in rebounds (32.1) and 196th in assists (13.7). Jeremiah Fears leads the team with 17.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG, a team-high 4.1 APG, and a team-high 1.6 SPG. Jalon Moore follows him with 16.0 PPG and a team-high 5.8 RPG, while Duke Miles chips in 9.5 PPG, 2.6 RPG, 2.1 APG, and 1.5 SPG.

UConn Huskies Betting Preview

The UConn Huskies (23-10, 15-18 ATS) were in a hot and cold form at one point in February but concluded the regular season with four consecutive victories over Georgetown, Providence, Marquette, and Seton Hall. The Huskies secured the No. 3 seed for the Big East tournament and had no trouble against Villanova in the quarterfinals. However, UConn lost to Creighton in the semis but still earned an invitation to the Big Dance.

UConn is averaging 77.4 PPG (88th) and is allowing 68.0 PPG (63rd). The Huskies are getting 35.6 RPG (184th) and dish out 17.6 APG (11th). Solo Ball is the team’s top performer with 14.6 PPG and 3.5 RPG. Liam McNeeley has 14.5 PPG, 6.1 RPG, and 2.3 APG, while Alex Karaban contributes 14.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.9 APG, and 1.6 BPG.

Why UConn will beat Oklahoma

• Connecticut has won each of its last 10 NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed.
• Oklahoma has lost three of its last four NCAA Tournament games against a higher seed.
• Oklahoma has lost the first half in each of its last three NCAA Tournament night games.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Connecticut’s last 10 NCAA Tournament night games against a lower seed have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
• Five of Oklahoma’s last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Connecticut ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.5).
• Connecticut ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (79.1%).
• Oklahoma ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.1%).
• Oklahoma ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.2%).

Oklahoma vs UConn Prediction

These teams have never met before. UConn has been in better form recently and the Huskies have a stronger defense, which, I believe, will be crucial in this encounter. Oklahoma is good when it comes to covering the spread this season and it managed to cover in each of the previous seven games. The bettors who follow trends would likely back the Sooners to cover, but not me. I can’t ignore the fact that the Huskies are back-to-back national champions and that they have experience of playing big games. I am going with UConn.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: UConn -5.5