Jan 17, 2026; Dallas, Texas, USA; SMU Mustangs guard Boopie Miller (2) controls the ball in front of Virginia Cavaliers center Ugonna Onyenso (33) during the second half at Moody Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Notre Dame vs SMU Prediction 2/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Notre Dame Fighting Irish SMU Mustangs
Team Records 11-13 16-7
Spread +11.5 -105 -11.5 -115
Moneyline +600 -900
Total Over 154.5 (-108) Under 154.5 (-112)
Where Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX
When Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ACC Network

In this article we will formulate a Notre Dame vs SMU prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 10th at the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 11-13 (2-9) this season after they lost to Florida State by a score of 82-79 in their last game. Notre Dame trailed 41-32 at halftime, but did score 47 points in the second half in the loss. The Fighting Irish shot 42% from the field, 32% on three pointers, and 63% on free throws in the game. Braeden Shrewsberry led Notre Dame with 18 points and five rebounds, while Jalen Haralson added 15 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Notre Dame lost to Louisville by a score of 76-65 and Syracuse by a score of 86-72. The Fighting Irish have scored 73.8 points per game with 37.5 rebounds and 12.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.8 points against per game this season. Jalen Haralson is averaging 15.2 points and 3.7 rebounds per game, while Braeden Shrewsberry is averaging 11.8 points and 2.9 rebounds per game for the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame is shooting 44.6% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this season. 

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs are 16-7 (5-5) this year after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 86-67 in their last game. SMU led 34-32 at halftime and scored 52 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Mustangs shot 57% from the field, 43% on three pointers, and 76% on free throws in the game. Jaron Pierre Jr led SMU with 21 points and five rebounds, while Boopie Miller added 20 points and nine assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, SMU lost to NC State by a score of 84-83 and Louisville by a score of 88-74. The Mustangs have scored 86.4 points per game with 38.0 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.3 points against per game this season. Boopie Miller is averaging 19.2 points and 6.8 assists per game, while Jaron Pierre Jr is averaging 17.5 points and 4.8 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. SMU is shooting 49.6% from the field, 76.2% on free throws, and 37.4% on three pointers this year. 

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won 11 of its last 12 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Notre Dame has lost nine of its last 10 games against Conference opponents.
  • Notre Dame has lost the first half in each of its last four road games.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of SMU’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) have produced a total of 161+ points.
  • Thirty-two of Notre Dame’s last 37 night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Notre Dame vs SMU Prediction 

Notre Dame comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 82+ points in three of those four games. The Fighting Irish are shooting 45% from the field and they have scored at least 79 points in two of their last four games. SMU has lost two of their last three games, but they have been pretty strong against the weaker teams. The Mustangs are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored at least 83 points in four of their last five games. Take SMU to win big here.

David Racey's Pick: SMU -11.5

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