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Northern Iowa vs St. Mary’s Prediction 12/22/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Northern Iowa Panthers | St. Mary's Gaels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-2 | 10-2 |
| Spread | +11.5 -102 | -11.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | +650 | -1000 |
| Total | Over 131.5 (-105) | Under 131.5 (-115) |
| Where | University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA | |
| When | Monday, December 22, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview
Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 10-2 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the WCC. They have a 7-0 home record and are coming off an 88-75 home win against Florida Atlantic. Their previous three games were a 68-67 home loss against Boise State, a 70-61 away win against Davidson, and a 96-71 home loss against Vanderbilt.
Offensively, Saint Mary’s averages 80.4 points per game, while allowing 64.8 points per game defensively. The Gaels shoot with 47% from the field and grab 40.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.8 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.
Paulius Murauskas leads Saint Mary’s in scoring, with an average of 18.5 points per game, while shooting with 48.5% from the field and 81.8% from the free throw line. Andrew McKeever leads the team in rebounds with 10.2 per game, while Joshua Dent adds a team-high 4.9 assists per game.
Northern Iowa Panthers Preview
Northern Iowa Panthers have a 9-2 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the MVC. They have a 2-0 away record and are coming off a 60-54 away win against UIC. Their previous three games were a 75-63 home win against Oakland, a 74-69 home loss against Wichita State, and a 99-34 home win against Coe College.
Offensively, Northern Iowa averages 72.4 points per game, while allowing 57.6 points per game defensively. The Panthers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 34.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.2 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.
Leon Bond III leads Northern Iowa in scoring, with an average of 13.7 points per game, while shooting with 50.0% from the field and 66.7% from the free throw line. Leon Bond III also leads the team in rebounds with 5.8 per game, while Trey Campbell adds a team-high 3.5 assists per game.
Northern Iowa Panthers @ Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends: December 22, 2025
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 31 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Northern Iowa has lost each of its last five games against the West Coast Conference.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 31 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Northern Iowa Panthers will win
- Northern Iowa has won five of its last six night games.
- Northern Iowa has won the first half in five of its last six night games.
Northern Iowa vs Saint Mary’s Prediction
In this Northern Iowa vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season and have almost identical overall records and just two defeats so far. Saint Mary’s has been undefeated at home, while Northern Iowa has won its two road games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been elite defensively, as they sit on the top-20 of the nation in points allowed, with Northern Iowa having the best defense in the country and both teams allowing just 122.4 points per game combined. Only one way to go here and this is the under 126.5 points.
