Northern Arizona vs Idaho State Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Idaho State Bengals and the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will meet on Saturday night in a Big Sky Conference matchup at the Rolle Activity Center in Flagstaff, Arizona.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Preview

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks enter Saturday evening’s contest with a 10–21 record, including a 4–14 conference record and a 9-7 record at home. The Lumberjacks have compiled wins over Justice College, Embry‑Riddle, Cal Poly, and Southeast Missouri State, while losing games to North Dakota State, South Dakota State, Drake and the Arizona Wildcats.

In the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 69–68 loss to North Dakota State earlier this season, Northern Arizona forward Zack Davidson tallied 20 points (7 of 12 shooting from the field), 4 rebounds and 1 steal showcasing his ability to lead the Lumberjacks frontcourt.

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks average 68.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting from the field and 36.2 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Lumberjacks are allowing opponents 77.2 points per game.

It should also be noted that these two teams met earlier this season. Who won? Last month, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks defeated the Idaho State Bengals 79-73.

Sophomore forward Zack Davidson leads the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averaging 14 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1 assist per game. Junior guard Ryan Abelman adds 11.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.6 steals per contest, while junior guard Isaiah Shaw contributes 9 points and 2.3 rebounds per contest. Senior forward Traivar Jackson provides a strong interior presence averaging 7.7 points and 5.5 rebounds per game.

Idaho State Bengals Betting Preview

The Idaho State Bengals enter Saturday’s contest with a 12–19 record, including a 5–13 mark in conference play and a 3-12 record on the road. The Bengals have compiled wins over Northern Colorado, Portland State and Sacramento State, while dropping games to Montana, Weber State and Eastern Washington.

Earlier this season, In the Idaho State Bengals thrilling 74–70 victory over Northern Colorado earlier this season, Idaho State forward Connor Hollenbeck amassed 21 points (8 of 14 shooting from the field), 7 rebounds and 2 assists, illustrating his ability to lead the Bengals frontcourt.

The Idaho State Bengals average 73.5 points per game on 44.9 percent shooting from the field and 33.6 percent shooting from three‑point range. The Bengals are allowing opponents 77.8 points per game which ranks an abysmal 261st in the country.

Junior forward Connor Hollenbeck leads the Idaho State Bengals frontcourt averaging 13.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. Sophomore guard Brayden Parker averages 12.1 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. Senior guard Miguel Tomley provides the Bengals with perimeter scoring at 11.4 points per game.

Why the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will win

• Quality guard play. Abelman and Shaw provide consistent perimeter scoring.

• Interior presence. Davidson and Jackson provide rebounding, inside scoring and rim protection.

• Home edge. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks have played relatively well at home (9-7) this season.                       

Why the Idaho State Bengals will win

• Interior scoring. Junior forward Connor Hollenbeck leads the Idaho State Bengals frontcourt averaging 13.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game.

• Offensive efficiency. Idaho State averages 73.5 points per game. Conversely, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks average just 68.2 points per contest.

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Prediction

Idaho State’s frontcourt scoring, efficient half‑court offense and proven ability to compete at a high level at home give the Bengals a strong path to staying inside this number in this one. Northern Arizona has struggled defensively throughout conference play, and their inconsistency in late‑game situations makes it difficult to trust them to create separation. With that said, Idaho State’s matchup advantages and ability to generate steady interior production point toward a competitive game throughout. I am backing the Idaho State Bengals plus the 4.5 points in this matchup.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Northern Arizona +4.5