New Mexico State vs Sam Houston State Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Sam Houston Bearkats meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Orleans Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats prediction.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 68-63 win over Jacksonville State last time out.

Aggies Searching For Another Upset

Jemel Jones leads the Aggies in scoring with 17.8 PPG along with 4.3 RPG and 2.5 APG while Julius Mims has 10.9 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Aggies in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for New Mexico State up to this point in the year. Anthony Wrzeszcz has 7.5 PPG while Jayland Randall has 9 PPG with 3.1 RPG. Gabe Pickens has a team-high 3.1 APG to lead the Aggies in assists and Elijah Elliott also has 8.3 PPG up to this point in the year. As a team, New Mexico State is averaging 75.5 PPG on 43% shooting from the field, 33% from three and 73.3% from the foul line this season.

Sam Houston Bearkats Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into the conference tournament as the 2-seed, finishing the year at 21-10 overall including a 13-7 mark in C-USA conference play.

Bearkats Looking For Revenge In Conference Tournament

Po’Boigh King leads the Bearkats in scoring with 14.4 PPG with 2 RPG while Kashie Natt has 10.4 PPG with 7.9 RPG to lead the Bearkats in rebounding and Isaiah Manning has 10.7 PPG with 3.9 RPG. Veljko Ilic has 11.2 PPG with 6.4 RPG and Jacob Walker has 11.2 PPG with 2.3 APG and 2.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Sam Houston so far this season. Justin Begg also has 9.5 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.6 APG and Damon Nicholas Jr. has 8.7 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Jacobe Coleman has 8.4 PPG with 2.5 RPG. As a team, Sam Houston is averaging 83 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 37.6% from three and 72.9% from the foul line so far this season.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

• Sam Houston State has won each of its last 13 Wednesday games against Conference opponents.
• Sam Houston State has won the first half in each of its last 11 Wednesday games against Conference opponents.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

• New Mexico State has won each of its last three games.
• Sam Houston State has lost three of its last four Conference Tournament games.
• New Mexico State has won the first half in four of its last five games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Sam Houston State’s last eight Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Thirty-five of New Mexico State’s last 40 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sam Houston State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.5).
• Sam Houston State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (62.7).
• New Mexico State ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.2).
• New Mexico State ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (41.2%).

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats Prediction

I’m on Sam Houston here. I think that New Mexico State is the 10-seed for a reason, they didn’t just accidentally fall into that placement. The Bearkats are still the far better team as far as I’m concerned and I think Sam Houston gets their revenge after losing to New Mexico State in the lone meeting this season. Give me Sam Houston.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Sam Houston State -5.5