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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction 1/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | New Mexico State Aggies | Liberty Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-6 | 13-3 |
| Where | Liberty Arena (VA), Lynchburg, VA | |
| When | Thursday, January 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
Liberty Flames Preview
Liberty Flames have a 13-3 record this season and are in the 1st place of the Conference USA. They have an 8-0 home record and are coming off a 82-74 away win against Sam Houston. Their previous three games were a 72-56 away win against Louisiana Tech, a 78-69 home win against Jacksonville State and a 81-73 home win against Kennesaw State.
Offensively, Liberty averages 80.8 points per game, while allowing 67.8 points per game defensively. The Flames shoot with 52% from the field and grab 31.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.9 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.
Brett Decker Jr. leads Liberty in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points per game, while shooting with 51.6% from the field and 80.6% from the free throw line. Zach Cleveland is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.6 per game, adding a team-high 7.6 assists.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
New Mexico State Aggies have a 9-6 record this season and are tied in the 7th place of the Conference USA. They have a 0-3 road record and are coming off a 59-55 home loss against Middle Tennessee. Their previous three games were a 80-64 home win against Western Kentucky, a 89-82 away loss against Missouri State and a 89-74 away loss against Florida International.
Offensively, New Mexico State averages 76.3 points per game, while allowing 68.1 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 44% from the field and grab 38.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.5 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Jemel Jones leads New Mexico State in scoring, with an average of 15.9 points per game, while shooting with 42.6% from the field and 82.9% from the free throw line. Julius Mims is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.7 per game. Gabe Pickens leads the team in assists with 3.5 per game.
New Mexico State Aggies @ Liberty Flames Betting Trends: January 15, 2026
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won each of its last 12 night games against Conference opponents.
- New Mexico State has lost three of its last four games.
- Liberty has won the first half in each of its last nine night games at Liberty Arena (Lynchburg).
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won six of its last eight night games.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in four of its last five night games.
New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction
In this New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Liberty is coming as -6.5 home favorites. Liberty has been the better team this season with just three defeats in their 16 games played and have been undefeated at home. They have seven consecurtive wins and are 3-1 against the spread, while on the other hand, New Mexico State has been winless on the road and is just 1-3 in its last 4 games and 2-6 against the spread in its last 8, so I like the value with the home favorite in this matchup. Take Liberty and lay the points.
