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Mt. St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers | Fairfield Stags |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-16 | 19-11 |
| Spread | +4.5 -112 | -4.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +164 | -198 |
| Total | Over 144.5 (-110) | Under 144.5 (-110) |
| Where | Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield, CT | |
| When | Sunday, March 1, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction for this college basketball game on Sunday, March 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Fairfield Stags Preview
The Fairfield Stags have a 19-11 overall record and an 11-8 record in the MAAC. They are coming off a 72-58 home win against Siena and their previous three games were an 85-79 road win against Quinnipiac, a 78-68 home win against Sacred Heart and an 83-74 road loss against Saint Peter’s.
Offensively, Fairfield averages 75.8 points per game, while allowing 72.4 points per game defensively. The Stags shoot with 44% from the field and grab 38.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.3 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.
Braden Sparks leads Fairfield in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points per game, while shooting with 42.4% from the field and 81.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 2.6 assists. Brandon Benjamin is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.3 per game.
Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Preview
The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers have a 14-16 overall record and a 10-9 record in the MAAC. They are coming off a 77-69 road loss against Sacred Heart and their previous three games were a 68-47 home win against Canisius, a 76-63 home win against Niagara and a 65-55 road win against Rider.
Offensively, Mount St. Mary’s averages 68.4 points per game, while allowing 71.1 points per game defensively. The Mountaineers shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.7 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 6.1 steals per game defensively.
Arlandus Keyes leads Mount St. Mary’s in scoring, with an average of 12.1 points per game, while shooting with 38.3% from the field and 64.3% from the free throw line. Luke McEldon is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 per game. Xavier Lipscomb leads the team in assists with 4 per game.
Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers @ Fairfield Stags Betting Trends: March 1, 2026
Why the Fairfield Stags will win
- Fairfield has won seven of its last eight home games.
- Fairfield has won the first half in nine of its last 10 home games.
Why the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers will win
- Mount St. Mary’s has won each of its last five day games.
- Fairfield has lost 13 of its last 15 day games against Conference opponents.
- Mount St. Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last four road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mount St. Mary’s’ last four day games have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
- Six of Fairfield’s last seven day games have produced a total of 149+ points.
Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction
In this Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction, Fairfield is coming as -4.5 home favorites. Fairfield has been the better team this season but have been weaker against the spread. Both teams have been in very good form lately, as they are 8-2 and 4-1 in their last 10 and 5 games respectively, so I will pass on picking a side. They both are 14-6 to the under in their last 20 games combined, as Mount St. Mary’s has a bottom-45 offense in the entire nation. Take the under 145 points in this one.
