Mar 8, 2023; Boise, ID, USA; Montana State Bobcats guard RaeQuan Battle (21) dribbles during the second half against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Idaho Central Arena. Montana State defeated Northern Arizona 85-78. Mandatory Credit: Brian Losness-Imagn Images
Brian Losness-Imagn Images

Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction 1/29/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Montana State Bobcats Sacramento State Hornets
Team Records 13-8 6-13
Spread -5.5 -112 +5.5 -108
Moneyline -250 +205
Total Over 154.5 (-115) Under 154.5 (-105)
Where Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA
When Thursday, January 29, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, January 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 6-13 overall record this season and a 2-5 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off a 75-67 away loss against Eastern Washington and their previous three games were an 86-76 away loss against Idaho, a 93-89 home win against Northern Colorado in overtime and an 83-69 home win against Northern Arizona.

Offensively, Sacramento State averages 77.5 points per game, while allowing 82.2 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 41% from the field and grab 36.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13 assists per game. They average 3.8 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.

Mikey Williams leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 16.8 points per game, while shooting with 36.6% from the field and 80.4% from the free throw line, also leading the team in assists with 4.5 per game. Prophet Johnson is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.2 per game.

Montana State Bobcats Preview

The Montana State Bobcats have a 13-8 overall record this season and a 7-1 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off a 91-88 home win against Weber State and their previous three games were a 74-62 home win against Idaho State, a 73-68 away win against Northern Colorado and a 76-67 home win against Montana.

Offensively, Montana State averages 79.1 points per game, while allowing 70.7 points per game defensively. The Bobcats shoot with 47% from the field and grab 34 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.6 assists per game. They average 2.7 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Patrick McMahon leads Montana State in scoring, with an average of 14.2 points per game, while shooting with 48.2% from the field and 69% from the free throw line. Jed Miller is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game, also leading the team in assists with 2.5 per game.

Montana State Bobcats @ Sacramento State Hornets Betting Trends: January 29, 2026

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

  • The home team has won each of Sacramento State’s last 16 games.
  • Montana State has lost the first half in each of its last five Thursday road games against Conference opponents.

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

  • Montana State has won each of its last eight night games.
  • Sacramento State has lost seven of its last eight games following a road loss.
  • Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games.

Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction

In this Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Montana State is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Montana State has been the better team this season, with more than twice as many overall wins as Sacramento and have been scorching-hot lately, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games and are 3-1 against the spread in their last 4. On the flip side, Sacramento has been struggling lately, with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games and is 3-5 against the spread, so I like the value with the road favorite in this matchup. Take Montana State and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Montana State -6.5

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