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Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

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Oklahoma (16-10) vs Mississippi State (19-7)

February 22, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma +2.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday,  February 22nd, at the Lloyd Noble Center.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Bulldogs’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Sooners’  recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Oklahoma

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Mississippi State 

-Recent betting trends in games played between Oklahoma and Mississippi State 

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Bulldogs and Sooners. 

Don’t Look Now…Mississippi State is Hot

Mississippi State looks like they are finally turning the corner by winning those key games. Two games ago against Ole Miss, they were able to secure the 81-71 victory, and in the last game against Texas A&M, they were able to pick up the 70-54 victory. The defense allowed the Aggies only to shoot 35.8 percent from the field, while Mississippi State shot 43.1 percent from the field. Texas A&M had no answer for Josh Hubbard, who put up 25 points, four assists, and two rebounds. 

With all the momentum that Mississippi State has, it sure would be disappointing if they were knocked off. A loss here would feel like going back to square one. The defense hasn’t been elite, but the offense is averaging 78 points per game. This team’s leader is undoubtedly Hubbard, who is averaging 17.88 points, 3.3 assists, and 2.2 rebounds per game. The offense needs to step up, but the defense is going to need to be even more important. Especially on the road, some stops early could really take the crowd out of it. 

Why Mississippi State Will beat Oklahoma

  • Mississippi State has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oklahoma has lost each of its last five games.
  • The road team has won the first half in six of Mississippi State’s last seven games.

Statement win for Oklahoma? 

Oklahoma is looking to make a statement in this game. After so much success early in the season, Oklahoma has lost five games in a row. A lot of the games haven’t been all that close. In the last game against Florida, the defense was awful, giving up 85 points, and they ended up losing by 23 points. At halftime, they were down 46-24, and even though they played better in the second half, it was too little too late. Jeremiah Fears had a strong game, putting up 22 points, five rebounds, and two assists. He was the only real bright spot for the team. 

The Sooners have a 16-10 record overall and have gone 10-4 straight up at home. Oklahoma is a good offensive team, but their defense has often left much to be desired. They are averaging 77.2 points, while their defense is giving up 73 points per game. Oklahoma also relies heavily on the free throw line, averaging 17.08 free throws per game while shooting 79.4 percent from the charity stripe. Jalon Moore has been the top player, averaging 17 points while shooting 49.5 percent from the field. 

Total Point Facts

  • Twenty-eight of Mississippi State’s last 32 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Thirteen of Oklahoma’s last 16 day games against AP-ranked opponents at Lloyd Noble Center have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction

Mississippi State finally has all kinds of confidence, and even on the road, it can continue its success. It’s not so much about what Mississippi State does; it’s more about Oklahoma’s awful defense. Oklahoma is giving up 73 points per game, and that type of effort isn’t going to give them much of a shot at all. The Sooners don’t have anyone to slow down Josh Hubbard, and he will get whatever he wants for 40 minutes. Oklahoma will keep it close for a half, but in the second half, Mississippi State will use its depth to close the deal. Back Mississippi State against the spread.

Shane Mickle's Pick: Mississippi State -2.5

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