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Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | New Mexico State Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Where | Pan American Center, Las Cruces, NM | |
| When | Saturday, January 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPNU | |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost to UTEP, beat Sam Houston, and they play La Tech next. Middle Tennessee has won 5 of its last 8 games.
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are averaging 76.9 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 70.3 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Kamari Lands is averaging 12.9 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Jahvin Carter is averaging 11.8 points and 3.2 rebounds. Torey Alston is the third double-digit scorer and Sean Smith is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 70.4 percent from the free throw line. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are allowing 28.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game.
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Missouri State, beat Western Kentucky, and they beat Liberty next. New Mexico State has split its last 10 games.
The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 77.9 points on 4.5 percent shooting and allowing 68.9 points on 38.4 percent shooting. Jemel Jones is averaging 15.9 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Julius Mims is averaging 10.6 points and 7.8 rebounds. Elijah Elliott is the third double-digit scorer and Jayland Randall is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New Mexico State Aggies are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico State Aggies are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won each of its last 11 games at Pan American Center following a home win.
- Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last three night games after coming off overtime.
Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win
- Middle Tennessee has won each of its last four games following an overtime loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of New Mexico State’s last 10 Saturday night games against the Conference USA have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Four of Middle Tennessee’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (38.4%).
- New Mexico State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.75).
- Middle Tennessee ranks T36th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.9).
- Middle Tennessee ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.7).
Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction
Middle Tennessee is coming off a bad loss to UTEP and has games here and there where the defense doesn’t show up. New Mexico State is one of the better defensive teams in the country and is undefeated at home through 7 games. Neither team is great ATS on the season, but this feels like a spot where New Mexico State can slow the game down, flex its muscle defensively, and remain unbeaten at home. I’ll lay the reasonable line with New Mexico State at home.
