Michigan vs Oregon Prediction 1/17/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Michigan Wolverines and the Oregon Ducks meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Matthew Knight Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Michigan Wolverines vs. Oregon Ducks prediction.

Michigan Wolverines Recap

The Michigan Wolverines come into this game looking to add on to their 82-72 win over Washington last time out to sit at 15-1 this season. After this game, Michigan will head home for a game against Indiana.

Wolverines Looking To Build Momentum

Yaxel Lendeborg leads the Wolverines in scoring with 14.6 PPG along with 6.9 RPG and 3.2 APG while Morez Johnson Jr. has 14.3 PPG with 7.1 RPG. Trey McKenney has 10.1 PPG with 2.7 RPG and Roddy Gayle Jr. has 10.1 PPG with 3.6 RPG and 2.1 APG. Aday Mara has 10.8 PPG with a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Wolverines in rebounding and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Michigan so far this season. Elliot Cadeau has 9.6 PPG with 3 RPG and a team-high 5.3 APG to lead Michigan in assists so far this season. As a team, Michigan is averaging 93.8 PPG on 51.9% shooting from the field, 35.3% from three and 72.8% from the foul line this season.

Oregon Ducks Recap

The Oregon Ducks come into this game looking to bounce back from their 90-55 loss at the hands of Nebraska last time out to sit at 8-9 this season. After this game, Oregon will take on Michigan State at home.

Ducks Lose 3 In A Row

Nate Bittle leads the Ducks in scoring with 16.3 PPG along with 6.7 RPG while Jackson Shelstad has 15.6 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 4.9 APG. Kwame Evans Jr. has 12.9 PPG with 7.5 RPG to lead the Ducks in rebounding while Takai Simpkins has 12.5 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 2.2 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Oregon up to this point in the year. As a team, Oregon is averaging 75.4 PPG on 43.2% shooting from the field, 33.5% from three and 70.7% from the foul line this season.

Michigan Wolverines @ Oregon Ducks Betting Trends: January 17, 2026

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

• Oregon has won each of its last four games at Matthew Knight Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
• Michigan has lost each of its last four January day games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
• Oregon has won the first half in each of its last four day games at Matthew Knight Arena.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Oregon has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Michigan has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 day games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Oregon’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Four of Michigan’s last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oregon ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (78.5%).
• Michigan ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (35.7%).
• Michigan is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction

I’m on the Ducks and the points here. I get the case to be made for Michigan here and they’re deserved favorites on the road considering they’ve been blowing out everybody that’s been put in their way so far this season. However, we’ve also seen Michigan have trouble covering numbers as of late, and I think that the Ducks can keep this one respectable as they’re more than talented enough to put some numbers up and stay within the number at home. Give me Oregon and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Oregon +18.5