Michigan Wolverines center Aday Mara (15) celebrates a shot with forward Will Tschetter (42) during the second half of the NCAA men's basketball game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at the Schottenstein Center in Columbus on Feb. 8, 2026. Ohio State lost 82-61.
Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Michigan Wolverines Northwestern Wildcats
Team Records 22-1 10-14
Spread -15.5 -112 +15.5 -108
Moneyline -1650 +950
Total Over 152.5 (-110) Under 152.5 (-110)
Where Welsh-Ryan Arena, Evanston, IL
When Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV BTN

In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Northwestern prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 22-1 (12-1) this season after they defeated Ohio State by a score of 82-61 in their last game. Michigan led 44-34 at halftime and they held OSU to just 27 points in the second half for the easy win. The Wolverines shot 46% from the field, 43% on three pointers, and 86% on free throws in the game. Aday Mara led Michigan with 24 points and six rebounds, while Yaxel Lendeborg added 14 points and 14 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Penn State by a score of 110-69 and Michigan State by a score of 83-71. The Wolverines have scored 91.0 points per game with 19.3 assists and 41.8 rebounds per game, while they have allowed 68.6 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 13.6 points and 7.3 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 51.4% from the field, 73.7% on free throws, and 35.8% on three pointers this season. 

Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview

The Northwestern Wildcats are 10-14 (2-11) this year after they lost to Iowa by a score of 76-70 in their last game. Northwestern trailed 39-35 at halftime and they were outscored 37-35 in the second half in the narrow loss. The Wildcats shot 47% from the field, 57% on three pointers, and 91% on free throws in the game. Nick Martinelli led Northwestern with 21 points and four rebounds, while Jake West added 18 points and four assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Northwestern lost to Illinois by a score of 84-44 and Washington by a score of 76-62. The Wildcats have scored 75.0 points per game with 32.2 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.6 points against per game this season. Nick Martinelli is averaging 22.7 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, while Arrinten Page is averaging 10.9 points and 4.7 rebounds per game for the Wildcats. Northwestern is shooting 46.0% from the field, 74.8% on free throws, and 31.9% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Northwestern Wildcats will win

  • The home team has won four of Northwestern’s last five games.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 18 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Northwestern has lost 13 of its last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Northwestern has lost the first half in each of its last six night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Northwestern’s last seven games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Each of Michigan’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Welsh-Ryan Arena have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction 

Michigan rolls into this matchup after picking up another double digit win last time out and they have just one loss on the season. The Wolverines are shooting 51% from the field and they have scored at least 82 points in three straight. Northwestern has lost three in a row and they are just 2-11 in Big Ten play. The Wildcats are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored 64 points or fewer in three of their last five. This is a lot of points to cover on the road, but I am more comfortable with Michigan running away with this one than Northwestern locking down on defense. Take the Wolverines here.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan -15.5

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