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Merrimack vs Marist Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

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Marist (20-7) vs Merrimack (16-14)

March 6, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Marist -1 — Over/Under: 126

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Merrimack vs Marist prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 6th at McCann Arena in Poughkeepsie, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Merrimack Warriors Betting Preview

The Merrimack Warriors are 16-14 (13-6) this year after they defeated Quinnipiac by a score of 73-63 in their last game. Merrimack led 30-27 at halftime and added 43 points in the second half to pull away for the win. The Warriors shot 43.5% from the field, 33.3% on three-pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Adam Clark led Merrimack with 20 points and four rebounds, while Sean Trumper added 14 points and three rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that big win, the Warriors lost to Rider by a score of 83-78 but did beat Iona by a score of 77-70 before that. Merrimack has lost four of their last six games and they are currently third in the MAAC standings with a 13-6 record. Merrimack has scored 65.7 points per game and they have allowed 64.9 points per game, while also averaging 28.3 rebounds and 11.8 assists per game this season. Adam Clark is averaging 20.1 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game, while Matt Becht is averaging 9.8 points, 1.8 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game this season. Merrimack is shooting 42.4% from the field, 71.8% on free throws, and 32.6% on three-pointers this year. 

Marist Red Foxes Betting Preview

The Marist Red Foxes are 20-7 (13-5) this season after they lost to St. Peter’s by a score of 57-52 in their last game. Marist trailed 27-19 at halftime but did outscore St. Peter’s by a score of 33-30 in the second half in the loss. The Red Foxes shot 35.6% from the field, 10.5% on three-pointers, and 72.7% on free throws in the game. Tarik Watson led Marist with 12 points and four rebounds, while Elijah Lewis added nine points and six rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Red Foxes lost to Sacred Heart by a score of 67-54 but did beat Niagara by a score of 64-61 before that. Marist has won four of their last six games and they are currently second in the MAAC standings with a 13-5 record. Marist has scored 67.3 points per game and they have allowed 64.3 points per game, while also averaging 35.9 rebounds and 14.1 assists per game this season. Josh Pascarelli is averaging 16.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game, while Elijah Lewis is averaging 11.6 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Marist is shooting 45.1% from the field, 69.6% on free throws, and 32.5% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Merrimack will beat Marist 

  • The road team has won four of Merrimack’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Merrimack’s last 10 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 129+ points.
  • Four of Marist’s last five games have produced a total of 125 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Marist ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.9).
  • Marist ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.3).
  • Merrimack ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.2).
  • Merrimack ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.9).

Merrimack vs Marist Prediction 

These two teams come into this contest with just a half-game separating them in the MAAC standings, so this is a huge game for both sides. Marist has lost two games in a row and they have scored just 54 and 52 points in those two games. The Red Foxes are shooting 45.1% from the field this year, compared to Merrimack’s 42.4% shooting. The Warriors have struggled over the last few weeks, but they are 4-1 in their last five road games. Marist won the first meeting at Merrimack by a score of 61-60, but I am going with Merrimack in this game. The Warriors have won two of their last three games and the Marist offense has been brutal in recent games. Take Merrimack here. 

David Racey's Pick: Merrimack ML

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