Pick details
| MATCHUP | Louisville Cardinals | Miami (FL) Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-9 | 24-7 |
| Where | Watsco Center, Coral Gables, FL | |
| When | Saturday, March 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPNU | |
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals lost to Clemson and beat Syracuse. Louisville has split its last 6 games.
The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 88.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 74.4 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Ryan Conwell is averaging 18.5 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Mikel Brown Jr. is averaging 18.2 points and 3.3 rebounds. J’Vonne Hadley is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaac McKneely is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.3 rebounds per game.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Miami Hurricanes beat Boston College and SMU. Miami has won 9 of its last 11 games.
The Miami Hurricanes are averaging 82.5 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allowing 70 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Malik Reneau is averaging 19.1 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Tre Donaldson is averaging 16.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Shelton Henderson is the third double-digit scorer and Tru Washington is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Hurricanes are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Hurricanes are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Hurricanes will win
- Miami (FL) has won 29 of its last 30 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Watsco Center.
- Louisville has lost 16 of its last 18 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Miami (FL) has won the first half in each of its last 12 games as an AP-ranked team at Watsco Center.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Louisville has won 14 of its last 16 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Miami (FL) has lost the first half in four of its last five home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Miami (FL)’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
- Forty-three of Louisville’s last 47 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (FL) is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Miami (FL) ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.6).
- Louisville ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.0).
- Louisville ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.9).
Louisville vs Miami Prediction
Louisville hasn’t had much success on the road this season and oddsmakers keep disrespecting Miami. It feels like most aren’t big believers in Miami, but here it is with 24 wins and a 17-3 ATS record. Already locked in for the ACC Tournament, this game doesn’t mean a huge deal to Miami, but this coaching staff has the Canes dialed in and it should be up on senior night. These are spots where Louisville has come up short all season. I’ll lay the small number with Miami at home.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami -1.5
