Louisville vs Miami Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Louisville vs Miami prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 12th at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals are 23-9 (11-7) this season after they defeated SMU by a score of 62-58 in their last game. Louisville was tied at 26 at halftime and they scored 36 points in the second half to escape with the win. The Cardinals shot 40% from the field, 23% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Ryan Conwell led Louisville with 16 points and three rebounds, while Adrian Wooley added 14 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Louisville defeated Miami by a score of 92-89 and Syracuse by a score of 77-62. The Cardinals have scored 85.9 points per game with 38.7 rebounds and 17.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.5 points against per game this season. Ryan Conwell is averaging 18.7 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, while Mikel Brown Jr. (OUT) is averaging 18.2 points and 4.7 assists per game for the Cardinals. Louisville is shooting 47.2% from the field, 77.1% on free throws, and 36.3% on three pointers this season. 

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes are 24-7 (13-5) this year after they lost to Louisville by a score of 92-89 in their last game. Miami trailed 46-37 at halftime, but they did score 52 points in the second half in the loss. The Hurricanes shot 56% from the field, 42% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Tre Donaldson led Miami with 25 points and six assists, while Malik Reneau added 18 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Miami defeated SMU by a score of 77-69 and Boston College by a score of 76-54. The Hurricanes have scored 82.7 points per game with 37.8 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.7 points against per game this season. Malik Reneau is averaging 19.0 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, while Tre Donaldson is averaging 16.8 points and 5.9 assists per game for the Hurricanes. Miami is shooting 50.6% from the field, 68.1% on free throws, and 35.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won 19 of its last 24 games.

Why the Louisville Cardinals will win

• Miami (FL) has lost eight of its last nine games played at neutral venues.
• Louisville has won seven of its last eight March games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Miami (FL) has lost the first half in seven of its last nine games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of Miami (FL)’s last 12 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
• Each of Louisville’s last four games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.3%).
• Miami (FL) ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (50.6%).
• Louisville ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+13.4).
• Louisville ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (85.9).

Louisville vs Miami Prediction 

Louisville comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak, but they only scored 62 points against a bad SMU defense on Wednesday. The Cardinals are shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed 77+ in three of their last five. Miami has won three of their last four games, but did lose to Louisville in their last game. The Hurricanes are shooting 51% from the field and they have scored at least 76 points in five straight games. I think Miami’s offense is in a better spot right now and I like them to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Miami ML