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Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

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Western Kentucky (17-13) vs Liberty (24-6)

March 8, 2025 at 03:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Western Kentucky +3.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, March 8th, at the Diddle Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Flames’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The  Hilltoppers’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Liberty

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Western Kentucky

-Recent betting trends in games played between Liberty and Western Kentucky

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Flames and Hilltoppers. 

Can Liberty Win the Second Straight Game?

Liberty was knocked off two games ago against Kennesaw State, but in the last game, they were able to bounce back in a big way. Liberty’s offense managed 86 points against Middle Tennessee and came out on top. Liberty shot 54.5 percent from the field and 90 percent from the free-throw line. Zach Cleveland had a strong game, putting up 16 points, six assists, and five rebounds. Taelon Peer was also really impressed, putting up 33 points, six rebounds, and one assist. 

Liberty has a 24-6 record overall, and they have gone 17-9-1 against the spread. The offense has been good for Liberty, but the defense can’t be overlooked. They are currently giving up only 62.4 points which is 10th best in the league. They are shooting 37.64 percent from deep. In this game, it’s going to be important they hit some of those shots from deep if they want to come away with their second straight win. Taelon Peter is averaging 13.5 points while shooting 57.1 percent from the field. Isaiah Ihnen is out for the season. 

What a Bounce Back for Western Kentucky

Two games ago, Western Kentucky was knocked off 65-47 at the hands of New Mexico State. In the last game against FIU, Western Kentucky got back on the right track, scoring 76 points, and they ended up winning by nine points. At halftime, they were up by a point, but in the second half, they outscored them 37-29 to come away with a victory. Don McHenry was the top player, putting up 20 points, five assists, and two rebounds. Four different players ended up putting up 10 points. 

Western Kentucky sits with a 17-13 record overall, and they have gone 15-11-3 against the spread. At home, they have gone 11-4, and they should have some confidence in playing at home. The Hilltoppers are averaging 75.8 points, while their defense is giving up 74.6 points per game. The offense is ranked 124th in the league, and they are going to need to lean on the offense here. Guard Don McHenry is averaging 17.3 points while shooting 40.85 percent from the field and 31.6 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Western Kentucky Will Beat Liberty

  • Western Kentucky has won each of its last 14 day games at E. A. Diddle Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Liberty has lost each of its last four road day games against Conference opponents.

Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction

Liberty and Western Kentucky have similar offenses, the big difference is the with the defense. Liberty’s defense is better on paper, but there are still too many points here. Liberty’s defense is giving up 62.4 points per game, but Western Kentucky’s offense has been strong at home, and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Western Kentucky might only score 70 points here, but that will still be enough to keep it close. Western Kentucky has gone 11-4 straight up at home. They can win this game outright, but we will take the points to be safe. Back Western Kentucky against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Western Kentucky +3.5

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