Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, March 6th, at the Murphy Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Flames’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Blue Raiders’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Liberty

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Middle Tennessee

-Recent betting trends in games played between Liberty and Middle Tennessee

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Flames and Blue Raiders.

Can Liberty Bounce Back?

Liberty faced off against Kennesaw State in the last game, and they looked pretty awful, at least in terms of the defense. Liberty scored 80 points, but the defense gave up 85. At halftime, Liberty was up 44-39, but they were outscored 46-36 in the second half. The Flames shot 45.8 percent from the field, but they allowed Kennesaw State to shoot 50.8 percent from the field and 37.9 percent from behind the three-point line. They also hit 10 of the 13 free throws. Kaden Metheny is having a huge season, averaging 13.2 points while shooting 42.4 percent from the field and 38.1 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Liberty has a 23-6 record overall, and they have gone 16-9-1 against the spread. Away from home, they have gone 7-2. Liberty is averaging 75.4 points, but the real strength of this team is with the defense. They are giving up 61.7 points, which is 8th in the league. In this game, it will be important that the defense steps up quickly.  Kaden Metheny is having a huge season, averaging 13.2 points while shooting 42.4 percent from the field and 38.1 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Liberty Will Beat Middle Tennessee

• Liberty has won each of its last seven night games.
• Middle Tennessee has lost four of its last five night games following an overtime win.
• Middle Tennessee has lost the first half in 14 of its last 15 Thursday games against the Conference USA.

Strong Season for Middle Tennessee

It has been a strong season for Middle Tennessee and they come into this game having won three games in a row. Two games ago against New Mexico State, they won 71-66, and in the last game against UTEP, they won 76-75. It took overtime in the last game, but a late shot was the difference as they were able to come away with the victory. Essam Mostafa had a strong game, putting up 16 points, 16 rebounds, and two assists. Camryn Weston also put up 11 points, five rebounds, and four assists. 

Middle Tennessee comes into this game with a 20-9 record and they have gone 15-10-2 against the spread. At home this season they have gone 8-3 straight up. Middle Tennessee is averaging 75.9 points, while their defense is giving up 71.4 points per game. When this team has struggled the defense has let them down, and they are going to need the defense to be a whole lot better. Jestin Porter is averaging 15.1 points while shooting 41.1 percent from the field and 37.4 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Total Points Facts

• Five of Middle Tennessee’s last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144+ points.
• Six of Liberty’s last eight games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 133 or fewer points.

Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 

Give me Liberty here. Liberty’s defense is elite giving up only 61.7 points per game and they are going to step up in a major way here. Middle Tennessee’s offense is averaging 75.9 points per game and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going against the Liberty defense. Liberty already beat Middle Tennessee by 10 points so far this season, and it will be at least that here. Liberty is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games played on the road. Back Liberty to win this game and cover the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Liberty +1