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Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction 3/28/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Tennessee (29-7) vs Kentucky (24-11)
March 28, 2025 at 07:39 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tennessee -4.5 — Over/Under: 144.5
The Kentucky Wildcats and Tennessee Volunteers meet Friday in the college basketball Sweet 16 at the Lucas Oil Stadium. Here’s a Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction. This article will include a Kentucky vs Tennessee Pick.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats beat Troy and Illinois, and the winner of this game plays Houston or Purdue. Kentucky has won nine of its last 13 games.
The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 85.3 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 77.9 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 16.3 points and 4.7 rebounds, while Jaxson Robinson is averaging 13 points and 3.5 rebounds. Lamont Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Koby Brea is dishing 1.3 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers beat Wofford and UCLA to make the Sweet 16. Tennessee has won nine of its last 11 games.
The Tennessee Volunteers are averaging 74.8 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 63.1 points on 38.2 percent shooting. Chaz Lainer is averaging 18.1 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Zakai Zeigler is averaging 13.7 points and 7.4 assists. Jordan Gainey is the third double-digit scorer and Igor Milicic Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Tennessee Volunteers are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Tennessee Volunteers are allowing 27.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Kentucky has lost four of its last five games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in five of its last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won 35 of its last 38 Friday night games.
- Tennessee has lost the first half in four of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kentucky’s last seven games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 159+ points.
- Ten of Tennessee’s last 11 NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tennessee ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (61.9).
- Tennessee ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.5).
- Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (123.8).
- Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (111.1).
Kentucky vs Tennessee Injury Report
Kentucky will remain without Kerr Kriisa due to a foot injury. Tennessee will remain without Cameron Carr due to a hand injury.
Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee has been the more consistent team this season and has the defense that should provide the edge. However, Kentucky is one of the better offensive teams in the country and has beaten Tennessee twice the season. The Vols struggled to find an offensive rhythm in those games against Kentucky. Also, the underdog has outright won each of the last seven games between Kentucky and Tennessee and eight of the last 10 games overall. You have to go back to February 2022 the last time a favorite has won a game between these SEC rivals. It’s not easy to beat the same team three times in a season, but this season and history overall suggest Kentucky and the points are the play on Friday night.
