Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction 12/2/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at the Breslin Center. Here’s a Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction. This article will include a Iowa vs Michigan State Pick.

Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes beat Grand Canyon and Ole Miss, and they play Michigan State next. Iowa has won 7 straight games.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are averaging 83.6 points on 53.1 percent shooting and allowing 61.1 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Bennett Stirtz is averaging 18.6 points and 2.9 rebounds, while Alvaro Folgueiras is averaging 10 points and 4.7 rebounds. Tavion Banks is grabbing 4.1 rebounds and Cooper Koch is dishing 0.9 assists. The Iowa Hawkeyes are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free throw line. The Iowa Hawkeyes are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.1 rebounds per game.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans beat East Carolina and North Carolina, and they play Duke next. Michigan State has won 7 straight games.

The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 79.7 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 61.6 points on 38 percent shooting. Jaxon Kohler is averaging 14.6 points and 1.6 assists, while Jeremy Fears Jr. is averaging 12 points and 3.9 rebounds. Coen Carr is the third double-digit scorer and Carson Cooper is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Michigan State Spartans are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 70.3 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan State Spartans are allowing 27.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won 22 of its last 23 games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Iowa has lost 17 of its last 18 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

• Iowa has won each of its last seven night games.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in six of its last seven night games against the Big Ten Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Iowa’s last 11 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 136+ points.
• Eleven of the last 12 games between Iowa and Michigan State have produced a total of 143+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan State ranks T12th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (20.3).
• Michigan State ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.1).
• Iowa ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.56).
• Iowa ranks T4th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).

Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction

Michigan State is the more battle tested, tougher, more physical team and should be favored at home. This will also be Iowa’s first road game of the season and first real, real test if we’re being honest. However, Iowa has defended well enough this season to think it can make some noise in the Big Ten. We know about the Hawkeyes shooting each year, but it’s the defense up to this point that’s impressed. Iowa is 6-1 ATS on the season and has won 5 of the last 7 games against Sparty. Big conference game, both teams playing well, give me the points with Iowa.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Iowa +6.5