Iowa State Cyclones forward Joshua Jefferson (5) shoots the ball over around Texas Tech Red Raiders forward LeJuan Watts (3) and Texas Tech Red Raiders forward Luke Bamgboye (9) during the second half in the Big-12 conference men’s basketball showdown on Feb. 28, 2026, at Hilton Coliseum in Ames, Iowa.
Nirmalendu Majumdar/Ames Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction 3/2/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Iowa State Cyclones Arizona Wildcats
Team Records 24-5 27-2
Spread +7.5 -110 -7.5 -110
Moneyline +275 -345
Total Over 147.5 (-112) Under 147.5 (-108)
Where McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ
When Monday, March 2, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

In this article we will formulate an Iowa State vs Arizona prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, March 2nd at the McKale Center in Tucson, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones are 24-5 (11-5) this season after they lost to Texas Tech by a score of 82-73 in their last game. Iowa State trailed 45-29 at halftime, but they did win the second half 44-37 in the loss. The Cyclones shot 39% from the field, 33% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Joshua Jefferson led Iowa State with 22 points and five assists, while Milan Momcilovic added 20 points and two rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Iowa State defeated Utah by a score of 75-59, but lost to BYU by a score of 79-69 before that. The Cyclones have scored 82.5 points per game with 35.7 rebounds and 17.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.5 points against per game this season. Milan Momcilovic is averaging 17.4 points and 3.2 rebounds per game, while Joshua Jefferson is averaging 16.8 points and 7.4 rebounds per game for the Cyclones. Iowa State is shooting 49.8% from the field, 67.1% on free throws, and 39.0% on three pointers this season. 

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

The Arizona Wildcats are 27-2 (14-2) this year after they defeated Kansas by a score of 84-61 in their last game. Arizona led 39-28 at halftime and they held Kansas to just 33 points in the second half for the easy win. The Wildcats shot 45% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Brayden Burries led Arizona with 20 points and 12 rebounds, while Koa Peat added 12 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Arizona defeated Baylor by a score of 87-80 and Houston by a score of 73-66. The Wildcats have scored 87.1 points per game with 43.3 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.6 points against per game this season. Brayden Burries is averaging 15.7 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, while Jaden Bradley is averaging 13.8 points and 4.6 assists per game for the Wildcats. Arizona is shooting 50.2% from the field, 73.5% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Arizona Wildcats will win

  • Arizona has won 57 of its last 60 night games at McKale Memorial Center.
  • Iowa State has lost each of its last six Monday night road games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Iowa State has lost the first half in three of its last four March night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Iowa State has won each of its last six Monday games.
  • Arizona has lost three of its last four March games as a top-5 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • Iowa State has won the first half in six of its last seven games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Iowa State’s last eight road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Six of Arizona’s last seven night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Arizona ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+18.4).
  • Arizona ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+25.9).
  • Iowa State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+17.0).
  • Iowa State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.9).

Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction 

Arizona comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they are currently leading the Big 12 standings. The Wildcats are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored 84+ points in back to back games. Iowa State has lost two of their last three games, including a rough loss to Texas Tech in their last game. The Cyclones are shooting 50% from the field and they have allowed 79+ points in their last two losses. I don’t like how the Iowa State defense is currently playing and Arizona loves to push the pace, so I am taking the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 147.5

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