Feb 17, 2026; West Lafayette, Indiana, USA; Purdue Boilermakers guard Braden Smith (3) drives the ball past Michigan Wolverines forward Morez Johnson Jr. (21) during the second half at Mackey Arena. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images
Marc Lebryk-Imagn Images

Indiana vs Purdue Prediction 2/20/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Indiana Hoosiers Purdue Boilermakers
Team Records 17-9 21-5
Spread +11.5 -115 -11.5 -105
Moneyline +500 -700
Total Over 149.5 (-110) Under 149.5 (-110)
Where Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
When Friday, February 20, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV FOX

The Indiana Hoosiers and the Purdue Boilermakers meet Friday in college basketball action from the Mackey Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers prediction.

Indiana Hoosiers Recap

The Indiana Hoosiers come into this game looking to shake off a 71-51 loss at the hands of Illinois last time out to sit at 17-9 this season. After this game, Indiana will head home for a game against Northwestern.

Hoosiers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Lamar Wilkerson leads the Hoosiers in scoring with 21.2 PPG along with 3.7 RPG and 2.5 APG while Tucker DeVries has 13.8 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 3.2 APG to lead the Hoosiers in rebounding. Tayton Conerway has 10.1 PPG with 3.7 APG along with 3 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for the Hoosiers up to this point in the year. Reed Bailey has 9 PPG with 3.7 RPG and Nick Dorn’s added 8.8 PPG while Conor Enright has a team-high 4.8 APG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 80.3 PPG on 47% shooting from the field, 34.8% from three and 78.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Purdue Boilermakers Recap

The Purdue Boilermakers come into this game looking to shake off their 91-80 loss at the hands of Michigan last time out to sit at 21-5 this season. After this game, Purdue will take on Michigan State at home.

Boilermakers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Braden Smith leads the Boilermakers in scoring and assists wtih 14.9 PPG and 8.8 APG along with 3.8 RPG while Fletcher Loyer has 13.4 PPG with 2.2 RPG and Trey Kaufman-Renn has 13 PPG with a team-high 9.1 RPG to lead the Boilermakers in rebounding along with 2.6 APG. Oscar Cluff has 10.2 PPG with 7.2 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Purdue so far this season. As a team, Purdue is averaging 82.5 PPG on 49.7% shooting from the field, 37.5% from three and 74.6% from the foul line this season.

Indiana Hoosiers @ Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends: February 20, 2026

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

  • Purdue has won each of its last 36 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at Mackey Arena.
  • Indiana has lost each of its last 11 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Purdue has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 February home games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

  • The road team has won four of Purdue’s last five games.
  • Purdue has lost each of its last three games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • The road team has won the first half in four of Purdue’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Purdue’s last four night games at Mackey Arena have produced a total of 151+ points.
  • Five of Indiana’s last six games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157+ points.

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction

I’m on the Hoosiers and the points here. I get the case to be made for Purdue at home, but this just feels like too many points for a rivalry matchup and I kind of wonder if Purdue has one eye on their upcoming date with Michigan State. I think the Hoosiers can hang here with their experience and keep this one within the number. Give me Indiana and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Indiana +10.5

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